Genotype imputation accuracy and the quality metrics of the minor ancestry in multi-ancestry reference panels
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Large-scale imputation reference panels are currently available and have contributed to efficient genome-wide association studies through genotype imputation. However, whether large-size multi-ancestry or small-size population-specific reference panels are the optimal choices for under-represented populations continues to be debated. We imputed genotypes of East Asian (180k Japanese) subjects using the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine reference panel and found that the standard imputation quality metric (Rsq) overestimated dosage r2 (squared correlation between imputed dosage and true genotype) particularly in marginal-quality bins. Variance component analysis of Rsq revealed that the increased imputed-genotype certainty (dosages closer to 0, 1 or 2) caused upward bias, indicating some systemic bias in the imputation. Through systematic simulations using different template switching rates (θ value) in the hidden Markov model, we revealed that the lower θ value increased the imputed-genotype certainty and Rsq; however, dosage r2 was insensitive to the θ value, thereby causing a deviation. In simulated reference panels with different sizes and ancestral diversities, the θ value estimates from Minimac decreased with the size of a single ancestry and increased with the ancestral diversity. Thus, Rsq could be deviated from dosage r2 for a subpopulation in the multi-ancestry panel, and the deviation represents different imputed-dosage distributions. Finally, despite the impact of the θ value, distant ancestries in the reference panel contributed only a few additional variants passing a predefined Rsq threshold. We conclude that the θ value substantially impacts the imputed dosage and the imputation quality metric value.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".