Prognostic value of DNA methylation subclassification, aneuploidy, and <i>CDKN2A/B</i> homozygous deletion in predicting clinical outcome of IDH mutant astrocytomas
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutant astrocytoma grading, until recently, has been entirely based on morphology. The 5th edition of the Central Nervous System World Health Organization (WHO) introduces CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion as a biomarker of grade 4. We sought to investigate the prognostic impact of DNA methylation-derived molecular biomarkers for IDH mutant astrocytoma. METHODS: We analyzed 98 IDH mutant astrocytomas diagnosed at NYU Langone Health between 2014 and 2022. We reviewed DNA methylation subclass, CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion, and ploidy and correlated molecular biomarkers with histological grade, progression free (PFS), and overall (OS) survival. Findings were confirmed using 2 independent validation cohorts. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in OS or PFS when stratified by histologic WHO grade alone, copy number complexity, or extent of resection. OS was significantly different when patients were stratified either by CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion or by DNA methylation subclass (P value = .0286 and .0016, respectively). None of the molecular biomarkers were associated with significantly better PFS, although DNA methylation classification showed a trend (P value = .0534). CONCLUSIONS: The current WHO recognized grading criteria for IDH mutant astrocytomas show limited prognostic value. Stratification based on DNA methylation shows superior prognostic value for OS.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".