Herd-level associations between the proportion of elevated prepartum nonesterified fatty acid concentrations and postpartum diseases, reproduction, or culling on dairy farms
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The objectives of this herd-level prospective observational cohort study were to describe the proportion of cows with elevated prepartum nonesterified fatty acid concentrations (PropElevNEFA) in dairy herds and to assess the herd-level associations between PropElevNEFA and postpartum diseases, reproductive performance, and culling. From November 2018 to December 2020, a convenience sample of 49 herds was enrolled in this study. Blood sampling (16 to 29 cows per herd) was performed during the week before and during the 2 wk following calving to quantify the concentration of nonesterified fatty acids (NEFA) and β-hydroxybutyrate acids (BHBA), respectively. Elevated NEFA was defined as ≥280 µmol/L and hyperketonemia as BHBA ≥1.4 mmol/L. Retained placenta, metritis, purulent vaginal discharge, endometritis, and mastitis were diagnosed on-farm following standardized definitions, and success at first artificial insemination (AI) and culling events were recorded. The associations between PropElevNEFA and each individual disease, success at first AI, and culling were evaluated using Bayesian aggregated binomial regression models with weakly informative priors, from the which odds ratio (OR) and the 95% credible intervals (BCI) were obtained. A total of 981 cows were included in the statistical analyses representing 16 to 29 (median = 19) cows per herd. Cows were enrolled in the prepartum period of their first to tenth (median = third) lactation, and 41% of them had an elevated prepartum NEFA concentration. At the herd level, PropElevNEFA varied between 11% and 78% (median = 39%). The odds of metritis (OR = 1.37, 95% BCI = 1.13-1.67) increased for every 10-point increase in PropElevNEFA, whereas the odds of success at first AI decreased (OR = 0.69, 95% BCI = 0.59-0.80). The PropElevNEFA was not associated with the other tested diseases or culling. Our results suggest that the herd-level proportion of cows having elevated prepartum NEFA concentrations is associated with metritis and poor success at first AI in dairy herds.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".