Cluster analysis to identify long COVID phenotypes using<sup>129</sup>Xe magnetic resonance imaging: a multicentre evaluation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Long COVID impacts ∼10% of people diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yet the pathophysiology driving ongoing symptoms is poorly understood. We hypothesised that 129 Xe magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) could identify unique pulmonary phenotypic subgroups of long COVID. Therefore, we evaluated ventilation and gas exchange measurements with cluster analysis to generate imaging-based phenotypes. Methods COVID-negative controls and participants who previously tested positive for COVID-19 underwent 129 Xe MRI ∼14 months post-acute infection across three centres. Long COVID was defined as persistent dyspnoea, chest tightness, cough, fatigue, nausea and/or loss of taste/smell at MRI; participants reporting no symptoms were considered fully recovered. 129 Xe MRI ventilation defect percent (VDP) and membrane-to-gas (Mem/Gas), red blood cell-to-membrane (RBC/Mem) and red blood cell-to-gas (RBC/Gas) ratios were used in k-means clustering for long COVID, and measurements were compared using ANOVA with post-hoc Bonferroni correction. Results We evaluated 135 participants across three centres: 28 COVID-negative (mean± sd age 40±16 years), 34 fully recovered (42±14 years) and 73 long COVID (49±13 years). RBC/Mem (p=0.03) and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV 1 ) (p=0.04) were different between long COVID and COVID-negative; FEV 1 and all other pulmonary function tests (PFTs) were within normal ranges. Four unique long COVID clusters were identified compared with recovered and COVID-negative. Cluster 1 was the youngest with normal MRI and mild gas trapping; Cluster 2 was the oldest, characterised by reduced RBC/Mem but normal PFTs; Cluster 3 had mildly increased Mem/Gas with normal PFTs; and Cluster 4 had markedly increased Mem/Gas with concomitant reduction in RBC/Mem and restrictive PFT pattern. Conclusions We identified four 129 Xe MRI long COVID phenotypes with distinct characteristics. 129 Xe MRI can dissect pathophysiological heterogeneity of long COVID to enable personalised patient care.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".