Long-term trends in British Columbia lower mainland air quality: Criteria air pollutants and VOC
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The lower mainland of British Columbia is a geographic region that comprises the districts of Metro Vancouver and the Lower Fraser Valley. It is situated in a complex topographical and coastal location in southwestern British Columbia. Metro Vancouver is Canada’s third largest population center. Accessing the Canadian National Air Pollution Surveillance Program (NAPS) database we calculated air pollutant statistics using the Canadian Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS) averaging times, numerical forms, and numerical levels for the years 2001to 2020. Man Kendall and Sen statistical methods were used to test for the presence of trends and the slope of those trends in fine particulate matter (PM2.5), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and volatile organic compound (VOC) ambient air concentrations. We did not determine a significant trend in 98th percentile of the daily 24-hr average PM2.5 concentrations. We did determine significant negative trends in the annual average of the daily 24-hr average PM2.5 concentrations at 6 of the 9 locations. Episodic, multi-day duration elevated PM2.5 concentrations related to forest fires were a significant influence on PM2.5 ambient concentrations. Annual 4th highest daily maximum 8-hr average O3 concentrations showed no trend at 14 of 18 locations, declined at 3 locations, and increased at one location. We determined statistically significant declines in peak and average NO2 and SO2 concentrations, and in time-integrated annual VOC concentrations.Implications: This non-parametric, statistical analysis determines 20-year trends in British Columbia lower mainland ambient air quality for PM2.5, O3, NO2, SO2 and VOC, assesses air quality against Canadian Ambient Air Quality Standards, and highlights the importance of event-based wildfire-sourced PM2.5.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".