Five Mars Years of Cloud Observations at Gale Crater: Opacities, Variability, and Ice Crystal Habits
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract We update the record of cloud opacity observations conducted by the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) Curiosity rover to cover the first five Mars Years (MYs) of the mission ( L s = 160° of MY 31 to L s = 160° of MY 36). Over the three MY period that we add to the previously analyzed two MY record, we achieve good diurnal coverage between 07:00 and 17:00 with nearly 1200 new observations. We derive a new scattering phase function for the clouds of the Aphelion Cloud Belt (ACB) using results from the Zenith and Suprahorizon movie data sets. Our phase function is generally smooth and featureless, which is consistent with the overall lack of atmospheric optical phenomena on Mars aside from a single instance of an observed halo. Applying our new phase function to the data, we find that there is very minimal variability in the ACB's opacity, either diurnally, intraseasonally, or interannually, noting that our observations are only sensitive to ice clouds and cannot detect any ice hazes that may be present over Gale. This contrasts with previous results, which observed a 57% difference in the opacity of morning and afternoon clouds in MY 33. The MY 33 results now appear to be an outlier, not replicated at any point during the MSL mission. We conclude that the higher morning opacities in MY 33 were a consequence of an incomplete understanding of the nature of the scattering phase function close to the Sun.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it