Identification of plasma proteomic markers underlying polygenic risk of type 2 diabetes and related comorbidities
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Introduction Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous disorder for which disease-causing pathways are incompletely understood. Here, we mapped genetic risk for T2D and its comorbidities to proteins, mechanistic pathways and clinical outcomes using proteogenomic data from a population-scale biobank and two randomized controlled trials. Methods We tested polygenic scores (PGS) for T2D and its cardiometabolic comorbidities, plus five partitioned T2D PGS (beta cell, lipodystrophy, liver lipid, obesity, and liver lipid), for association with 2,922 circulating proteins in 54,306 multi-ancestry participants (of which 42,452 were unrelated and without prevalent cardiometabolic disease) from the UK Biobank (UKB). Then, we tested the PGS-associated proteins for association with incident cardiometabolic complications in two cardiovascular outcome trials among T2D patients with proteogenomic data: EXSCEL (N=2,823) and DECLARE-TIMI 58 (N=915). We assessed causality using two-sample Mendelian randomization and mediation. Results We identified 839 unique proteins significantly associated with any T2D PGS and 1,005 proteins that were associated with at least one cardiometabolic PGS. Some PGS-associated proteins such as TFF3, EFEMP1, and MMP12 were in turn associated with renal and cardiovascular trial outcomes. PGS association patterns revealed shared pathways, e.g., complement cascade, cholesterol metabolism, IGF signaling. The proteins underlying these pathways, such as LPA, C1S, and IGFBP2, were consistently associated with clinical trial outcomes or identified via causal inference. Conclusions This proteogenomic study revealed proteins and mechanistic pathways underlying T2D and related comorbidities, advancing our understanding of T2D pathobiology and identifying putative biomarkers. All our results are available in an online data portal ( https://public.cgr.astrazeneca.com/t2d-pgs/v1/ ).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".