Health Care System Overstretch and In-Hospital Mortality of Intubated Patients With COVID-19 in Greece From September 2020 to April 2022: Updated Retrospective Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Our previous analysis showed how in-hospital mortality of intubated patients with COVID-19 in Greece is adversely affected by patient load and regional disparities. Objective: We aimed to update this analysis to include the large Delta and Omicron waves that affected Greece during 2021-2022, while also considering the effect of vaccination on in-hospital mortality. Methods: Anonymized surveillance data were analyzed from all patients with COVID-19 in Greece intubated between September 1, 2020, and April 4, 2022, and followed up until May 17, 2022. Time-split Poisson regression was used to estimate the hazard of dying as a function of fixed and time-varying covariates: the daily total count of intubated patients with COVID-19 in Greece, age, sex, COVID-19 vaccination status, region of the hospital (Attica, Thessaloniki, or rest of Greece), being in an intensive care unit, and an indicator for the period from September 1, 2021. Results: A total of 14,011 intubated patients with COVID-19 were analyzed, of whom 10,466 (74.7%) died. Mortality was significantly higher with a load of 400-499 intubated patients, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.22 (95% CI 1.09-1.38), rising progressively up to 1.48 (95% CI 1.31-1.69) for a load of ≥800 patients. Hospitalization away from the Attica region was also independently associated with increased mortality (Thessaloniki: HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.32; rest of Greece: HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.54-1.75), as was hospitalization after September 1, 2021 (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.09-1.36). COVID-19 vaccination did not affect the mortality of these already severely ill patients, the majority of whom (11,944/14,011, 85.2%) were unvaccinated. Conclusions: Our results confirm that in-hospital mortality of severely ill patients with COVID-19 is adversely affected by high patient load and regional disparities, and point to a further significant deterioration after September 1, 2021, especially away from Attica and Thessaloniki. This highlights the need for urgent strengthening of health care services in Greece, ensuring equitable and high-quality care for all.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".