Widowhood and multidimensional poverty: Evidence from Nigeria
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Poverty among widows has received little empirical attention in Africa despite women's severe vulnerability to death shock. We provided empirical evidence on widow households' transition in and out of poverty and factors influencing their probability of being in poverty. The Markov transition probabilities show moderate but increasing positive transitions for severely poor widows. Non‐poor widows are stayers who primarily sustain their non‐poor class. The ordered logit estimation shows that higher dependency ratio increases the chances of a widow being severely poor. Being an older widow and having literacy skills reduced the probability that a widow household will be severely poor. Household size and dependency ratio are noted to play important roles in the probability of transitions across poverty classes as shown by the estimated multinomial logit model. These findings are robust to alternative poverty measure, estimation method and different set of weights. Generally, the results echo the need for social safety nets to cushion widows' financial strains. Life insurance policy for spouses, increased sensitization of widows of their rights and adult education programmes targeted at widows could mitigate the negative impact of widowhood on women.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".