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Record W4395665976 · doi:10.18280/mmep.110404

A Deterministic Mathematical Dynamic System Based on the PSITPS Model for Modeling the COVID-19 Epidemic

2024· article· en· W4395665976 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Alaa Falih Mahdi, Hussein K. Asker, Inaam R. Al-Saiq

Bibliographic record

VenueMathematical Modelling and Engineering Problems · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicCOVID-19 epidemiological studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Epidemic model2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Computer scienceApplied mathematicsMathematicsVirologyBiologyDemographyMedicineInfectious disease (medical specialty)OutbreakSociology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To illustrate the dynamics of the COVID-19, we have introduced a mathematical model called PSITPS and shown the effect of protection (vaccination) after treatment.The proposed model solution's positivity, boundedness, existence, and uniqueness are analyzed.The model's possible equilibrium points were also identified, and the Next-Generation Matrix was employed to calculate the Basic Reproduction Number ℛ 0 .This study dealt with the stability of equilibrium points at the local and global levels under specific conditions.The Disease-Free Equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when ℛ 0 < 1; otherwise, it's unstable.By creating the Lyapunov function, we showed that the endemic equilibrium points are globally stable.In this work, we conducted numerical simulations of the model using true data from the COVID-19 epidemic in Najaf.It is a city where religious events abound with large gatherings, which lead to violation of health instructions to avoid infection with COVID-19.The simulation showed that protection (vaccination) after treating the infected had a substantial effect on mitigating the spread of COVID-19.The paper highlights the role of vaccination as a protective measure in effectively controlling the transmission of COVID-19 and mitigating the incidence of illness within the community.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.020

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.257
GPT teacher head0.366
Teacher spread0.108 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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