Circulating HMGB1 in acute ischemic stroke and its association with post-stroke cognitive impairment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Ischemic stroke frequently leads to a condition known as post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI). Timely recognition of individuals susceptible to developing PSCI could facilitate the implementation of personalized strategies to mitigate cognitive deterioration. High mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) is a protein released by ischemic neurons and implicated in inflammation after stroke. Circulating levels of HMGB1 could potentially serve as a prognostic indicator for the onset of cognitive impairment following ischemic stroke. Objective To investigate the predictive value of circulating HMGB1 concentrations in the acute phase of ischemic stroke for the development of cognitive dysfunction at the 3-month follow-up. Methods A total of 192 individuals experiencing their initial episode of acute cerebral infarction were prospectively recruited for this longitudinal investigation. Concentrations of circulating HMGB1 were quantified using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) technique within the first 24 hours following hospital admission. Patients underwent neurological evaluation including NIHSS scoring. Neuropsychological evaluation was conducted at the 3-month follow-up after the cerebrovascular event, employing the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) as the primary tool for assessing cognitive performance. Multivariable logistic regression models were employed to investigate the relationship between circulating HMGB1 concentrations and cognitive dysfunction following stroke, which was operationalized as a MoCA score below 26, while controlling for potential confounders including demographic characteristics, stroke severity, vascular risk factors, and laboratory parameters. Results Of 192 patients, 84 (44%) developed PSCI. Circulating HMGB1 concentrations were significantly elevated in individuals who developed cognitive dysfunction following stroke compared to those who maintained cognitive integrity (8.4 ± 1.2 ng/mL vs 4.6 ± 0.5 ng/mL, respectively; p < 0.001). The prevalence of PSCI showed a dose-dependent increase with higher HMGB1 quartiles. After controlling for potential confounders such as demographic factors (age, gender, and education), stroke severity, vascular risk factors, and laboratory parameters in a multivariable logistic regression model, circulating HMGB1 concentrations emerged as a significant independent predictor of cognitive dysfunction following stroke (regression coefficient = 0.236, p < 0.001). Conclusion Circulating HMGB1 concentrations quantified within the first 24 hours following acute cerebral infarction are significantly and independently correlated with the likelihood of developing cognitive dysfunction at the 3-month follow-up, even after accounting for potential confounding factors. HMGB1 may be a novel biomarker to identify patients likely to develop post-stroke cognitive impairment for targeted preventive interventions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Direct model labels (unvalidated)
Per-model category and study-design labels from the labeling rounds. They are machine output, unvalidated, and the disagreement between models ships as data. No study design here is MEDLINE-validated yet.
| Model arm | Categories | Study design | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| gemma | no category Domain: not available · Genre: Empirical About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no | Observational | low |
| gpt | no category Domain: not available · Genre: Empirical About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no | Observational | high |
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedLabeled directly by 2 models reading the full record.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".