The long and winding road to biomarkers for immunotherapy: a retrospective analysis of samples from patients with triple-negative breast cancer treated with pembrolizumab
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
•With the exception of PD-L1 and TMB, there are no predictive biomarkers to guide ICB treatment decisions in advanced TNBC.•ICB monotherapy in our 11 TNBC patients showed variable clinical responses, highlighting the heterogeneity of the disease.•TNBCs with high TMB may respond better to ICB, but the 10-mut/Mb threshold may not accurately select these patients. BackgroundImmune checkpoint blockade (ICB) in combination with chemotherapy improves outcome of patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in metastatic and early settings. The identification of predictive biomarkers able to guide treatment decisions is challenging and currently limited to programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression and high tumor mutational burden (TMB) in the advanced setting, with several limitations.Materials and methodsWe carried out a retrospective analysis of clinical-pathological and molecular characteristics of tumor samples from 11 patients with advanced TNBC treated with single-agent pembrolizumab participating in two early-phase clinical trials: KEYNOTE-012 and KEYNOTE-086. Clinical, imaging, pathological [i.e. tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), PD-L1 status], RNA sequencing, and whole-exome sequencing data were analyzed. We compared our results with publicly available transcriptomic data from TNBC cohorts from TCGA and METABRIC.ResultsResponse to pembrolizumab was heterogeneous: two patients experienced exceptional long-lasting responses, six rapid progressions, and three relatively slower disease progression. Neither PD-L1 nor stromal TILs were significantly associated with response to treatment. Increased TMB values were observed in tumor samples from exceptional responders compared to the rest of the cohort (P = 3.4 × 10−4). Tumors from exceptional responders were enriched in adaptive and innate immune cell signatures. Expression of regulatory T-cell markers (FOXP3, CCR4, CCR8, TIGIT) was mainly observed in tumors from responders except for glycoprotein-A repetitions predominant (GARP), which was overexpressed in tumors from rapid progressors. GARP RNA expression in primary breast tumors from the public dataset was significantly associated with a worse prognosis.ConclusionsThe wide spectrum of clinical responses to ICB supports that TNBC is a heterogeneous disease. Tumors with high TMB respond better to ICB. However, the optimal cut-off of 10 mutations (mut)/megabase (Mb) may not reflect the complexity of all tumor subtypes, despite its approval as a tumor-agnostic biomarker. Further studies are required to better elucidate the relevance of the tumor microenvironment and its components as potential predictive biomarkers in the context of ICB. Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) in combination with chemotherapy improves outcome of patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in metastatic and early settings. The identification of predictive biomarkers able to guide treatment decisions is challenging and currently limited to programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression and high tumor mutational burden (TMB) in the advanced setting, with several limitations. We carried out a retrospective analysis of clinical-pathological and molecular characteristics of tumor samples from 11 patients with advanced TNBC treated with single-agent pembrolizumab participating in two early-phase clinical trials: KEYNOTE-012 and KEYNOTE-086. Clinical, imaging, pathological [i.e. tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), PD-L1 status], RNA sequencing, and whole-exome sequencing data were analyzed. We compared our results with publicly available transcriptomic data from TNBC cohorts from TCGA and METABRIC. Response to pembrolizumab was heterogeneous: two patients experienced exceptional long-lasting responses, six rapid progressions, and three relatively slower disease progression. Neither PD-L1 nor stromal TILs were significantly associated with response to treatment. Increased TMB values were observed in tumor samples from exceptional responders compared to the rest of the cohort (P = 3.4 × 10−4). Tumors from exceptional responders were enriched in adaptive and innate immune cell signatures. Expression of regulatory T-cell markers (FOXP3, CCR4, CCR8, TIGIT) was mainly observed in tumors from responders except for glycoprotein-A repetitions predominant (GARP), which was overexpressed in tumors from rapid progressors. GARP RNA expression in primary breast tumors from the public dataset was significantly associated with a worse prognosis. The wide spectrum of clinical responses to ICB supports that TNBC is a heterogeneous disease. Tumors with high TMB respond better to ICB. However, the optimal cut-off of 10 mutations (mut)/megabase (Mb) may not reflect the complexity of all tumor subtypes, despite its approval as a tumor-agnostic biomarker. Further studies are required to better elucidate the relevance of the tumor microenvironment and its components as potential predictive biomarkers in the context of ICB.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it