Malignant Transformation of Dysplastic Vocal Fold Lesions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: The reported rates of malignant transformation of dysplastic laryngeal lesions are highly variable, as is time to malignant degeneration. Objective: To evaluate the rate of and time to malignant transformation of dysplastic laryngeal lesions based on the World Health Organization (WHO) dysplasia classification system. Data Sources: PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, CENTRAL, and Cochrane Reviews were searched from the date of database inception to June 8, 2023. Study Selection: English-language articles assessing the rate of malignant transformation using the 2005 WHO dysplasia classification system were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Data Extraction and Synthesis: The study was reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline. Data extraction was performed by 2 independent investigators. Study quality was assessed using a validated quality tool. When possible, data were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Main Outcome Measures: The primary outcome measure was the malignant transformation rate in each laryngeal dysplasia category. Secondary outcome measure was the time interval over which malignant transformation had occurred. Results: A total of 5585 records were screened, 61 full texts were assessed, and 18 retrospective cohort studies with 3243 participants were included in the final review. The weighted pooled mean malignant transformation rates of mildly, moderately, and severely dysplastic lesions were 10.9%, 23.3%, and 30.5%, respectively. Malignant transformation rate of nondysplastic laryngeal lesions was 4.5%. Moderately and severely dysplastic lesions had significantly higher odds of malignant transformation compared with mildly dysplastic lesions (moderate: odds ratio [OR], 2.90 [95% CI, 2.06-4.09]; I2 = 0%; severe: OR, 3.42 [95% CI, 2.11-5.52]; I2 = 40%). Lesions without dysplasia had a significantly lower odds of malignant transformation compared with lesions with mild dysplasia (OR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.28-0.81; I2 = 0%). The overall mean time to malignant transformation was 28.8 months (range, 22.0-35.6 months) for all dysplasia grades. Conclusion and Relevance: This systematic review and meta-analysis found that the rate of malignant transformation increased with the grade of laryngeal dysplasia. Moderately dysplastic lesions were more likely to undergo malignant degeneration compared with mildly dysplastic lesions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.071 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".