The Association of CKD Severity with Stroke Subtype Using the TOAST Classification
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Ischemic stroke affects approximately 67.5 million people worldwide. The risk of acute ischemic stroke largely increases with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, whether the risk of specific ischemic stroke subtype varies with declining kidney function remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to assess the association between ischemic stroke subtypes (cardioembolic [CE], arterial, lacunar, other) classified using the Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) and CKD stage. Methods: This is a cross-sectional, retrospective cohort study of adults (≥18 years) with an ischemic stroke who presented to the emergency department in Ontario, Canada between April 1, 2002- March 31, 2013 and who had an inpatient serum creatinine measurement or were on chronic dialysis. All patients captured in the stroke registry with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were included and CKD severity was categorised as ≥60, 30-59, <30 mL/min/1.73m2 or chronic dialysis. Results: A total of 17,434 individuals with an ischemic stroke were included (58.9% eGFR ≥60, 34.7% eGFR 30-59, 6.0% eGFR<30, 0.5% on chronic dialysis; mean age of 73 years; 48% female). Among patients with an eGFR 30-59 (50.4%) and < 30 (50.6%), CE stroke was more common compared to those with an eGFR >60 (36.8%) or on chronic dialysis patients (37.3%). The odds of CE stroke vs. non-CE stroke were eGFR 30-59 odds ratio (OR) 1.20 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.31, eGFR<30 OR 1.21 95% CI 1.02-1.44, dialysis OR 0.86 95% CI 0.48-1.57, eGFR>60 referent). We found lower adjusted odds of lacunar stroke in those with advanced CKD (lacunar vs. non-lacunar: eGFR 30-59 OR 0.85 95% CI 0.77-0.93, eGFR<30 OR 0.73 95% CI 0.61-0.88, dialysis OR 1.25 95% CI 0.68-2.28, eGFR>60 referent). In subgroup analyses (eGFR>=30 and <30), CE strokes were also more common in those >65 years, with atrial fibrillation, no anticoagulation or an INR <2. Conclusions: Chronic kidney disease (eGFR<60, pre-dialysis CKD) is associated with a higher odds of CE stroke compared to patients with normal to high kidney function or those on chronic dialysis. Normal/mildly decreased eGFR were associated with the development of lacunar strokes. Detailed stroke subtyping in CKD may therefore provide mechanistic insights and refocus treatment strategies in this vulnerable group.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".