Bordetella pertussis infection following relaxation of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions in 2021–2023 in Vancouver metropolitan area, British Columbia, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We recently reported a near disappearance of B. pertussis and a decline in anti-B. pertussis antibodies during the peak implementation of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in 2021 in British Columbia (BC), Canada. During 2021-2023, incidence of reported B. pertussis cases remained low in BC at < 1/100,000 population. This study determined how serological evidence of B. pertussis changed after the gradual relaxation of NPI between 2021-2023. METHODS: Randomly selected blood samples from school staff 25-51 years old (n = 65) were collected yearly between 2021-2023 in the Vancouver metropolitan area, BC, Canada, and tested for anti-pertussis toxin (PT) IgG levels. Serological evidence of B. pertussis infection (thereafter "seroconversion") was defined as a quantifiable anti-PT IgG levels in subjects with anti-PT IgG levels below lower limit of quantification in the preceding year or a > 4-fold increase in anti-PT IgG levels between two subsequent years. Samples were also tested for anti-diphtheria toxoid (DT) IgG, and similar seroconversion criteria were applied to exclude seroconversion due to vaccination with tetanus-diphtheria-acellular-pertussis (Tdap). RESULTS: Three subjects met seroconversion criteria for anti-PT IgG between 2021 and 2022 and 9 between 2022 and 2023, yielding a seroconversion rate of 4.6 /100 person-years and 14.9/100 person-years, P = 0.127, respectively. None of the subjects met the criteria for vaccination with Tdap. The geometric mean concentration of anti-PT IgG showed a statistically significant decrease in 2022 compared with 2021, 4.8 IU/mL IU/ml (95 % confidence interval [CI], 3.8-5.9) vs. 6.4 IU/ml (95 % CI, 4.9-8.2; p = 0.001), followed by a statistically significant increase in 2023 compared with 2022 6.5 IU/ml (95 % CI, 4.9-8.5) vs. 4.8 IU/ml (95 % CI, 3.8-5.9; p = 0.0006), respectively. DISCUSSION: Serological evidence of B. pertussis increased between 2022 and 2023 despite low reported cases, which suggests that B. pertussis circulation resumed after relaxing of COVID-19 NPI.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".