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Record W4399178968 · doi:10.18280/mmep.110526

Stability Analysis of Spread of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Using SEIAR-V1V2Q Model for Asymptomatic Condition with Runge-Kutta Order 4

2024· article· en· W4399178968 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Erwin Erwin, Citra Dewi Hasibuan, Doni Aldo Samuel Siahaan, Asima Manurung, Jonathan Liviera Marpaung

Bibliographic record

VenueMathematical Modelling and Engineering Problems · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicCOVID-19 epidemiological studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversitas Sumatera Utara
KeywordsQuarantineAsymptomaticVaccinationCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Infectious disease (medical specialty)Epidemic modelAsymptomatic carrierBasic reproduction numberMedicineDiseaseTransmission (telecommunications)VirologyContagious diseaseSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)ImmunologyEnvironmental healthComputer sciencePopulationInternal medicineTelecommunicationsPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The spread of infectious diseases in Indonesia has become a significant concern in health.COVID-19 contagious disease has difficulties in infection because some individuals are infected asymptomatically.Infectious diseases are modeled with a SEIR model modification with vaccinations 1 and 2, and Quarantine will produce a new approach by considering the variables and parameters of prevention so that it can suppress the rate of spread of the infectious disease COVID-19.The study will simulate a numerical analysis of the transmission model of contagious diseases solved using the Runge-Kutta order 4. The results achieved a new model with the SEIAR-V1V2Q modification, this model can predict the acceleration of the spread of the COVID-19 transmitted disease by considering asymptomatic conditions.Based on the research, modifying the SEIR model with 2-stage vaccination and quarantine measures can reduce the percentage of infection cases of susceptible individuals, especially cases of asymptomatic infection, which are cases of infected individuals without showing symptoms.Discipline in accelerating 2-stage vaccination will increase the formation of individual body immunity to strengthen unique antibodies to minimize infection with the COVID-19 virus.It can be a reference in similar cases requiring vaccination and Quarantine of infected individuals.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.022
Threshold uncertainty score0.044

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.162
GPT teacher head0.367
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations8
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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