Characterizing the Relationship between Expression Quantitative Trait Loci (eQTLs), DNA Methylation Quantitative Trait Loci (mQTLs), and Breast Cancer Risk Variants
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Purpose: To assess the association of a polygenic risk score (PRS) for functional genetic variants with the risk of developing breast cancer. Methods: Summary data-based Mendelian randomization (SMR) and heterogeneity in dependent instruments (HEIDI) were used to identify breast cancer risk variants associated with gene expression and DNA methylation levels. A new SMR-based PRS was computed from the identified variants (functional PRS) and compared to an established 313-variant breast cancer PRS (GWAS PRS). The two scores were evaluated in 3560 breast cancer cases and 3383 non-cancer controls and also in a prospective study (n = 10,213) comprising 418 cases. Results: We identified 149 variants showing pleiotropic association with breast cancer risk (eQTLHEIDI > 0.05 = 9, mQTLHEIDI > 0.05 = 165). The discriminatory ability of the functional PRS (AUCcontinuous [95% CI]: 0.540 [0.526 to 0.553]) was found to be lower than that of the GWAS PRS (AUCcontinuous [95% CI]: 0.609 [0.596 to 0.622]). Even when utilizing 457 distinct variants from both the functional and GWAS PRS, the combined discriminatory performance remained below that of the GWAS PRS (AUCcontinuous, combined [95% CI]: 0.561 [0.548 to 0.575]). A binary high/low-risk classification based on the 80th centile PRS in controls revealed a 6% increase in cases using the GWAS PRS compared to the functional PRS. The functional PRS identified an additional 12% of high-risk cases but also led to a 13% increase in high-risk classification among controls. Similar findings were observed in the SCHS prospective cohort, where the GWAS PRS outperformed the functional PRS, and the highest-performing PRS, a combined model, did not significantly improve over the GWAS PRS. Conclusions: While this study identified potentially functional variants associated with breast cancer risk, their inclusion did not substantially enhance the predictive accuracy of the GWAS PRS.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".