Association of herpes zoster with dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis with GRADE assessment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background: Herpes zoster (HZ) is the reactivation of varicella zoster virus predominantly affecting individuals aged over 50 years. Dementia is a prevalent age-related condition. The association between HZ and dementia was under dispute. Objectives: The objective of this study was to evaluate the evidence on the association of HZ with dementia. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the risk of dementia in individuals with a history of HZ compared to those without such a history. We searched PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Cochrane Library for studies published up to February 24, 2024. The risk of bias of studies was examined by the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. A random effects model meta-analysis was performed to calculate the pooled hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Subgroup analyses on Alzheimer’s disease (AD), vascular dementia (VD), and cranial nerve involvement of HZ were executed. We used the GRADE methodology to assess the certainty of evidence. Results: We included seven cohorts and two case–control studies involving 3,550,251 subjects. The risk of bias of included studies was generally low. The meta-analysis found no association of HZ with dementia (pooled HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.94–1.07 for cohort studies; pooled OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.84–1.30 for case-control studies), with the certainty of evidence being very low. Subgroup analyses for AD, VD, and cranial never HZ also revealed no significant differences (pooled HR being 0.99, 95% CI 0.89–1.09; 1.04, 95% CI 0.85–1.27; and 1.36, 95% CI 0.76–2.43, respectively). Conclusion: The current evidence does not support an association of HZ with dementia.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.026 | 0.061 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.029 | 0.058 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.010 | 0.009 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".