Vulnerable plaque features and adverse events in patients with diabetes mellitus: a post hoc analysis of the COMBINE OCT-FFR trial
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Thin-cap fibroatheroma (TCFA) lesions are associated with a high risk of future major adverse cardiovascular events. However, the impact of other optical coherence tomography-detected vulnerability features (OCT-VFs) and their interplay with TCFA in predicting adverse events remains unknown. AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the individual as well as the combined prognostic impact of OCT-VFs in predicting the incidence of the lesion-oriented composite endpoint (LOCE) in non-ischaemic lesions in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: COMBINE OCT-FFR (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02989740) was a prospective, double-blind, international, natural history study that included DM patients with ≥1 non-culprit lesions with a fractional flow reserve>0.80 undergoing systematic OCT assessment. OCT-VFs included the following: TCFA, reduced minimal lumen area (r-MLA), healed plaque (HP), and complicated plaque (CP). The primary endpoint, LOCE - a composite of cardiac mortality, target vessel myocardial infarction, or clinically driven target lesion revascularisation up to 5 years - was analysed according to the presence of these OCT-VFs, both individually and in combination. RESULTS: TCFA, r-MLA, HP and CP were identified in 98 (25.3%), 190 (49.0%), 87 (22.4%), and 116 (29.9%) patients, respectively. The primary endpoint rate increased progressively from 6.3% to 55.6% (hazard ratio 15.2, 95% confidence interval: 4.53-51.0; p<0.001) in patients without OCT-VFs as compared to patients with concomitant HP, r-MLA, CP, and TCFA. The coexistence of TCFA with other OCT-VFs resulted in an increased risk of the LOCE at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: In DM patients with non-ischaemic lesions, TCFA was the strongest predictor of future LOCE events. However, lesions that present additional OCT-VFs are associated with a higher risk of adverse events than OCT-detected TCFA alone. Further randomised studies are warranted to confirm these findings and their potential clinical implications.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it