MDB-63. AN INTERNATIONAL META-ANALYSIS OF SHH MEDULLOBLASTOMA SUBTYPES DEFINES A CLINICALLY SIGNIFICANT HIGH-RISK VARIANT OF SHH-SUBTYPE 3
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract BACKGROUND The distinction of MBSHH into four methylation-dependent subgroups was recognized by the WHO in 2021. However, these subgroups have not previously been defined by international experimental consensus and their clinico-molecular features and behavior have not formally been investigated in large cohorts. We aimed to robustly identify SHH subgroups through analysis of MBSHH with DNA-methylation profiling. METHODS A cohort of 683 MBSHH, confidently classified using the Heidelberg classifier v12.5, was assembled for analysis from multiple international studies. To define subgroups, we applied consensus sampling-based clustering approaches to tumor methylomes, including assessment of confidence in class-definition and inter-technique concordance. The clinico-molecular features of consensus subgroups were investigated. RESULTS Lowest complexity analysis supported the division of MBSHH into the 4 WHO-subtypes. SHH-1 and SHH-2 were associated with lower age and infrequent mutations of PTCH1/SUFU; SHH-2 was distinguished from SHH-1 by enriched MBEN histology, absence of chromosome 2 gain, less frequent metastasis and more favorable overall-survival. SHH-4 presented in older children and adults (3-57; median 24 years), and was primarily defined by mutations in U1-snRNA (67/72). Consensus analyses supported the division of SHH-subgroup-3 into three. Importantly, the SHH-3C subtype was associated with a coalescence of high-risk features (LCA histology, TP53mut, MYCNamp/GLI2amp) alongside 3p, 10q and 17p loss, and had dismal survival. The remaining SHH-3A/B subtypes were characterized by 9q loss, frequent focal amplifications of TERT and PPM1D, and equivalent better survival. CONCLUSIONS This study affirms the distinction of MBSHH into 4 major subgroups. For infant disease, SHH-2 is a favorable-risk marker. For childhood-MBSHH, the SHH-3C subtype provides a molecular definition of high-risk that subsumes other previously-defined high-risk disease markers (LCA, MYCNamp, TP53mut) into a unified high-risk disease group. The other SHH-3 subtypes behave similarly and are favorable-risk. These subtypes have potential to enhance molecularly-guided risk-stratification in routine diagnostics, to improve patient outcomes and quality-of-life.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".