MDB-63. AN INTERNATIONAL META-ANALYSIS OF SHH MEDULLOBLASTOMA SUBTYPES DEFINES A CLINICALLY SIGNIFICANT HIGH-RISK VARIANT OF SHH-SUBTYPE 3
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract BACKGROUND The distinction of MBSHH into four methylation-dependent subgroups was recognized by the WHO in 2021. However, these subgroups have not previously been defined by international experimental consensus and their clinico-molecular features and behavior have not formally been investigated in large cohorts. We aimed to robustly identify SHH subgroups through analysis of MBSHH with DNA-methylation profiling. METHODS A cohort of 683 MBSHH, confidently classified using the Heidelberg classifier v12.5, was assembled for analysis from multiple international studies. To define subgroups, we applied consensus sampling-based clustering approaches to tumor methylomes, including assessment of confidence in class-definition and inter-technique concordance. The clinico-molecular features of consensus subgroups were investigated. RESULTS Lowest complexity analysis supported the division of MBSHH into the 4 WHO-subtypes. SHH-1 and SHH-2 were associated with lower age and infrequent mutations of PTCH1/SUFU; SHH-2 was distinguished from SHH-1 by enriched MBEN histology, absence of chromosome 2 gain, less frequent metastasis and more favorable overall-survival. SHH-4 presented in older children and adults (3-57; median 24 years), and was primarily defined by mutations in U1-snRNA (67/72). Consensus analyses supported the division of SHH-subgroup-3 into three. Importantly, the SHH-3C subtype was associated with a coalescence of high-risk features (LCA histology, TP53mut, MYCNamp/GLI2amp) alongside 3p, 10q and 17p loss, and had dismal survival. The remaining SHH-3A/B subtypes were characterized by 9q loss, frequent focal amplifications of TERT and PPM1D, and equivalent better survival. CONCLUSIONS This study affirms the distinction of MBSHH into 4 major subgroups. For infant disease, SHH-2 is a favorable-risk marker. For childhood-MBSHH, the SHH-3C subtype provides a molecular definition of high-risk that subsumes other previously-defined high-risk disease markers (LCA, MYCNamp, TP53mut) into a unified high-risk disease group. The other SHH-3 subtypes behave similarly and are favorable-risk. These subtypes have potential to enhance molecularly-guided risk-stratification in routine diagnostics, to improve patient outcomes and quality-of-life.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".