Only the Greenhouse Gas, Water Vapor, Measurably Warms the Earth
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Data is available for the 61 greenhouse gases (GHGs) in Table 2.14 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) to calculate their contribution to global warming in degrees Celsius. The procedure is described in the recently published study Reliable Physics Demand Revision of the IPCC Global Warming Potentials. In the current study, the contribution was calculated for each 61 GHG. The sum of the contributions of the 61 GHGs was 0.00833oC out of 26oC, which, for this example, is the difference in temperature between Pond Inlet and Amsterdam. This amount of temperature is too small to measure. Thus, with all other GHGs except water vapor eliminated as warming gases, water vapor is the only GHG that causes measurable warming of the Earth’s atmosphere. This is the exact result of the mathematical model of the Earth’s atmosphere developed in 1904 by Willis Carrier, i.e., the psychrometric chart, which is now a computer program, i.e., Humidair. Thus, the two methods used 120 years apart are robust and give the same result, confirming the unique role of water vapor in the temperature of Earth’s atmosphere and the virtually non-temperature role of the 61 GHGs.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".