Building a composite score for patient self-report of flare in osteoarthritis: a comparison of methods with the Flare-OA-16 questionnaire
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: This study aims to compare methods of constructing a composite score for the Flare-OA-16 self-reported questionnaire. METHODS: Participants with knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA) completed a validated 16-item questionnaire assessing five domains of flare. Three estimation methods were compared: (i) second-order confirmatory factor analysis (CFA); (ii) logistic regression, according to the participant's self-report of flare (yes/no); and (iii) Rasch method, with weighted scores in each dimension. The distribution (floor effect [FF] and ceiling effect [CF]) were described and the known-group validity (by self-reported flare) tested by Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Similarity between the scores was analyzed by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and their performance against self-report compared by areas under ROC curves (AUC). Intrascore test-retest reliability at 14 days was assessed by ICC. RESULTS: In a sample of 381 participants, 247 reported having a flare. CFA showed fit indices (comparative fit index [CFI] = 0.95; root mean square error of approximation [RMSEA] = 0.08) and estimated composite mean score = 4.33(SD = 2.85) (FF = 14.9%, CF = 0%). For the logistic regression estimation, the mean composite score was 6.48 (SD = 3.13) (FF = 0%; CF = 0%). With Rasch model, the mean composite score was 4.35 (SD = 2.60) (FF = 14.9%; CF = 0%). Similarity analysis indicated a greater concordance between CFA and Rasch scores (ICC = 0.98) than between logistic regression score and the two others (ICC = 0.88 with Rasch score and 0.90 with CFA score). The AUC indicated similar performance of all methods: logistic model (AUC = 0.89 [0.85-0.92]), CFA, and Rasch model (AUC = 0.86 [0.82-0.90]). The difference between groups was significant (P < .05) for scores estimated by CFA (3.98), Rasch model (4.95), and logistic regression (4.30). The reproducibility was ICC = 0.84 (0.75-0.90) for Rasch and CFA scores and ICC = 0.78(0.66-86) for logistic model. CONCLUSION: Three alternatives explored to build a composite score showed similar construct validity. Some metric superiority (better score distribution and reproducibility) of the Rasch model is promising for the detection of occurrence and assessment of severity of a flare in OA.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.024 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".