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Record W4401235326 · doi:10.1093/ehr/ceae145

Retrospective Prophecy and Medieval English Authorship, by Kimberly Fonzo

2024· article· en· W4401235326 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Kelsey Shearman

Bibliographic record

VenueThe English Historical Review · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldArts and Humanities
TopicMedieval Literature and History
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHistoryClassicsLibrary scienceComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Political prophecy, once a relatively under-explored field, has garnered significant interest since Lesley Coote’s Prophecy and Public Affairs in Later Medieval England (2000) and is now an established field for literary scholars and historians alike. Kimberly Fonzo’s monograph represents a valuable contribution to the field, for it explores the relationship between prophetic engagement and authorial identity in Ricardian English literature. In the introduction, Fonzo outlines the aim of her book and defines what she terms retrospective prophecies as ‘predictions that readers have ascribed to authors ex post facto’ (p. 4). Such supposed prophecies, she argues, oversimplify the causes of the event they supposedly predicted and lead readers to date the works prior to the past events they apparently predicted. The first chapter discusses the diverse approaches to prophecy by Ricardian writers, notably the use of the prophetic voices of Merlin and Sybil. She posits that many of these writers’ uses and treatment of political prophecy were a result of political pressures, such as the need to encourage support for the French military campaigns or to express frustration with their cessation. Following this chapter, Fonzo focuses on specific authors (William Langland, John Gower and Geoffrey Chaucer), and she suggests that these writers and their works have long been misunderstood as prophetic. She traces the history of these misunderstandings, debunks such retrospective prophecies, and analyses those prophetic approaches which the authors did employ.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.011
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.028
Threshold uncertainty score0.055

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.011
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0030.005
Science and technology studies0.0030.005
Scholarly communication0.0050.007
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.233
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe English Historical ReviewSame topicMedieval Literature and HistoryFrench-language works237,207