Recurrent venous thromboembolism and vaginal estradiol in women with prior venous thromboembolism: A nested case–control study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Whether vaginal estradiol use is associated with an increased risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in women with prior VTE is unknown. We sought to evaluate the association between vaginal estradiol use and recurrent VTE in women with prior VTE. METHODS: We performed a nationwide nested case-control study among 44 024 women aged ≥45 years who developed a first VTE without a history of vaginal estrogen use prior to VTE diagnosis. Cases with recurrent VTE were matched 1:2 on birth year with controls using incidence density sampling. Exposure to vaginal estradiol tablets was categorized into current use (0-2 months before index), prior use (2-24 months before index) and past use (more than 24 months prior to index). RESULTS: We identified 5066 cases and 10 127 age-matched controls. In fully adjusted analysis vaginal estrogen was not associated with recurrent VTE with a hazard ratio of 0.75, p = .07 for current use, 0.83, p = .13 for prior use, and 1.24, p = .06 for past use. CONCLUSION: Use of vaginal estradiol tablets in women with prior VTE was not associated with an increased rate of recurrent VTE. Our study indicates that vaginal estradiol therapy is unlikely to increase risk of recurrent VTE in women with prior VTE.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".