White matter structure and derived network properties are used to predict the progression from mild cognitive impairment of older adults to Alzheimer’s disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To identify white matter fiber injury and network changes that may lead to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) progression, then a joint model was constructed based on neuropsychological scales to predict high-risk individuals for Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression among older adults with MCI. METHODS: A total of 173 MCI patients were included from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative(ADNI) database and randomly divided into training and testing cohorts. Forty-five progressed to AD during a 4-year follow-up period. Diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) techniques extracted relevant DTI quantitative features for each patient. In addition, brain networks were constructed based on white matter fiber bundles to extract network property features. Ensemble dimensionality reduction was applied to reduce both DTI quantitative features and network features from the training cohort, and machine learning algorithms were added to construct white matter signature. In addition, 52 patients from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) database were used for external validation of white matter signature. A joint model was subsequently generated by combining with scale scores, and its performance was evaluated using data from the testing cohort. RESULTS: Based on multivariate logistic regression, clinical dementia rating and Alzheimer's disease assessment scales (CDRS and ADAS, respectively) were selected as independent predictive factors. A joint model was constructed in combination with the white matter signature. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity in the training cohort were 0.938, 0.937, and 0.91, respectively, and the AUC, sensitivity, and specificity in the test cohort were 0.905, 0.923, and 0.872, respectively. The Delong test showed a statistically significant difference between the joint model and CDRS or ADAS scores (P < 0.05), yet no significant difference between the joint model and the white matter signature (P = 0.341). CONCLUSION: The present results demonstrate that a joint model combining neuropsychological scales can be constructed by using machine learning and DTI technology to identify MCI patients who are at high-risk of progressing to AD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".