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Record W4401799932 · doi:10.1016/j.jcae.2024.100440

MD&A tone and stock returns

2024· article· en· W4401799932 on OpenAlexaff
Wenjun Xue, Zhongzhi He, Feifei Wang

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicFinancial Markets and Investment Strategies
Canadian institutionsBrock University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTone (literature)Stock (firearms)AccountingBusinessLinguisticsMaterials sciencePhilosophyMetallurgy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This paper examines the impact of the MD&A (Management’s Discussion and Analysis) tone on cross-sectional stock returns in the unique context of Chinese A-share companies. We find a significant and positive relationship between the MD&A tone and Chinese stock returns after controlling for quantitative financial metrics. Our results suggest that the MD&A tone provides additional value that further enhances the information quality in MD&A disclosures and market responses. Furthermore, we observe that the textual tone effect is more pronounced for firms with lower institutional ownership, lower financial transparency, in less competitive market environments, and both the information factor and the sentiment factor of MD&A tone positively affect stock returns. Thus, we provide convincing evidence that MD&A narratives can serve as an effective communication tool to facilitate disclosure and mitigate information asymmetry between corporations and investors.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.804
Threshold uncertainty score0.838

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.050
GPT teacher head0.254
Teacher spread0.204 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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