Free water levels in normal-appearing white matter predict vascular lesion progression in individuals with dementia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) is a common co-pathology in elderly and individuals with dementia. Neuroimaging markers of SVD include white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and MRI-visible perivascular spaces (PVS). However, the mechanisms underlying changes in these markers over time, whether ischemic or beta-amyloid (Aβ)-related, remain elusive. Here, we evaluated the effects of microstructural injury in the normal-appearing white matter and Aβ in the cerebral cortex on the progression of WMH and PVS over three years. Data was obtained from two independent cohorts: (i) TRIAD, comprising cognitively normal, MCI, and AD dementia participants (baseline: N=199, follow-up year 1 and 2: N=102 and 62); and (ii) MITNEC-C6, comprising “real-world” patients with mixed dementia and moderate-to- severe WMH burden (baseline: N=52, 2 years follow-up: N=25). We quantified global WMH and PVS volumes from FLAIR and T1w MRI. At baseline, we examined associations between these volumes and diffusion MRI-derived free water. Longitudinally, we employed linear [mixed-effect] models to investigate the relation of WMH or PVS volume changes over time with baseline free water, using cortical Aβ-PET, age, sex, and APOE-ε4 as covariates. In TRIAD and MITNEC-C6 respectively, mean ages were 72±6 and 77±8 y, 60% and 42% were female, and 41% and 48% were Aβ-positive. At baseline, higher free water in normal- appearing white matter was associated with higher WMH volume (β_TRIAD=+0.34±0.06, P_TRIAD<0.001 and β_MITNEC=+0.31±0.14, P_MITNEC=0.03) as well as total PVS volume (β_TRIAD=+0.53±0.06, P_TRIAD<0.001 and β_MITNEC=+0.30±0.13, P_MITNEC=0.03).Longitudinally, faster WMH progression was predicted by higher baseline free water in normal- appearing white matter (P_TRIAD<0.001 and P_MITNEC=0.01) in Aβ-positive but not negative individuals (Figure 1). Conversely, higher free water in normal-appearing white matter was moderately related to slower PVS progression (P_TRIAD=0.03 and P_MITNEC=0.004). Our findings support a key role for free water and Aβ in predicting the progression of volumetric MRI-based markers of SVD. Future investigations will explore the spatial relationships involved. Additionally, further validation of our longitudinal segmentation tools for PVS is necessary to support a potential link between free water and PVS temporal dynamics.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".