Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality under treatment with GLP-1 RAs or the dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist tirzepatide in overweight or obese adults without diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Among the currently approved antiobesity medications, the glucagon-like-peptide-1 receptor-agonists (GLP-1 RAs) liraglutide and semaglutide, and the dual glucose-dependent-insulinotropic-polypeptide (GIP)/GLP-1 RA tirzepatide have been suggested to reduce cardiovascular-risk in overweight or obesity without diabetes. Objectives: The objective of this study was to evaluate the cardio- and neuroprotective potential of these novel agents in the nondiabetic overweight/obese adult population. Data sources and methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized-controlled clinical trials (RCTs) was performed to estimate the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in overweight or obese adults without diabetes treated with GLP-1 or GIP/GLP-1 RAs (vs placebo). Secondary outcomes included the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke. Results: Sixteen RCTs (13 and 3 on GLP-1 RAs and tirzepatide, respectively) comprising 28,168 participants were included. GLP-1 or GIP/GLP-1 RAs reduced MACE (odds ratio (OR): 0.79; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.71–0.89; p < 0.01; I 2 = 0) and all-cause mortality (OR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.70–0.92; p < 0.01; I 2 = 0), while there was a trend toward lower cardiovascular-mortality (OR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.71–1.01; p = 0.06; I 2 = 0%) compared to placebo. Additionally, GLP-1 or GIP/GLP-1 RAs reduced the odds of MI (OR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.86; p < 0.01; I 2 = 0%) and nonfatal-MI (OR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.85; p < 0.01; I 2 = 0%); while no associations between antiobesity treatment and fatal-MI, stroke, nonfatal, or fatal stroke were uncovered. Conclusion: GLP-1 and GIP/GLP-1 RAs reduce cardiovascular-risk and all-cause mortality in overweight or obese adults without diabetes. Additionally, GLP-1 RAs and GIP/GLP-1 RAs attenuate the risk of MI. Since data on stroke are still limited, future RCTs are warranted to evaluate the neuroprotective potential of these novel antiobesity agents. Trial registration: PROSPERO CRD42024515966.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.008 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".