Hospital Re-Admission Prediction Using Named Entity Recognition and Explainable Machine Learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Early hospital readmission refers to unplanned emergency admission of patients within 30 days of discharge. Predicting early readmission risk before discharge can help to reduce the cost of readmissions for hospitals and decrease the death rate for Intensive Care Unit patients. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for prediction of unplanned hospital readmissions using discharge notes from the MIMIC-III database. This approach is based on first extracting relevant information from clinical reports using a pretrained Named Entity Recognition model called BioMedical-NER, which is built on Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers architecture, with the extracted features then used to train machine learning models to predict unplanned readmissions. Our proposed approach achieves better results on clinical reports compared to the state-of-the-art methods, with an average precision of 88.4% achieved by the Gradient Boosting algorithm. In addition, explainable Artificial Intelligence techniques are applied to provide deeper comprehension of the predictive results.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".