36 The long-term consequences of short-course systemic corticosteroid therapy for childhood acute asthma exacerbations
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Paediatric emergency department (ED) asthma guidelines recommend the administration of short-course systemic corticosteroids (SCS) for moderate to severe asthma exacerbations. The potential adverse implications of frequent, short-course SCS in children are poorly characterized. Objectives To determine the risk of adverse outcomes in children with asthma who receive multiple short-courses of SCS for asthma exacerbation management. Design/Methods In this population-based, retrospective cohort study, we identified children aged 1-16 years with an ED asthma presentation/hospitalization between October 1, 2017, and February 28, 2020. We divided participants into an SCS-exposed and unexposed cohort. A minimum washout period of 3 years was applied to exclude any SCS use before the index date. During a 24-month follow-up period, we captured cumulative short-courses of SCS for acute asthma management and the primary outcome, development of steroid-associated complications. We excluded participants with steroid-treated comorbidities, non-asthma-related SCS exposure and development of adverse outcome(s) before the index visit. We compared baseline characteristics between cohorts using descriptive statistics. A Prentice-Williams-Peterson model was used to determine the risk of adverse outcomes amongst children receiving SCS for asthma management with results expressed as adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% Wald confidence intervals (CI). Results We identified 1468 participants with an asthma ED visit who received ≥1 SCS course for acute management and 541 participants who did not receive SCS during our study window, after applying inclusion/exclusion criteria. Baseline demographics were balanced between cohorts aside from age at index, which was significantly younger (4.31 ± 3.71 vs 7.64 ± 4.21 p<0.001) in the SCS-exposed cohort. Overall, the risk of developing a recurrent SCS-associated adverse outcome was not increased in the SCS-exposed cohort (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.74-1.23, p=0.7). However, when the number of SCS courses was considered, a significant risk of recurrent SCS-associated outcomes emerged, especially for those receiving 4+ SCS courses (HR = 2.30, 95% CI: 0.92-5.80). This potential dose-response effect was negated when patients who were likely on medium to high dose maintenance inhaled corticosteroids, were removed in a sensitivity analysis (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.35-5.39). Conclusion At a tertiary care Canadian paediatric hospital, children and adolescents receiving short-course SCS for asthma exacerbation management overall do not demonstrate an increased risk of developing complications after two years follow-up. However, complication risk may be increased among those receiving 4+ cumulative SCS courses.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".