Direct oral anticoagulant approvals by four major regulatory agencies: a cross-sectional analysis of premarket and postmarket evidence
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To compare the premarket and postmarket evidence of safety and efficacy of direct oral anticoagulants approved for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation patients across four major regulatory agencies. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: European Medicines Association (EMA), US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Health Canada and Australian Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA). PARTICIPANTS: Apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban and rivaroxaban marketing authorisations. OUTCOME MEASURES: Concordance among regulatory agencies with respect to (1) premarket evidence used to establish efficacy and safety and (2) postmarket safety boxed warnings and postmarketing study requirements. RESULTS: Apixaban, dabigatran and rivaroxaban were approved by each of the four regulatory agencies; edoxaban was only not approved by TGA. For premarket efficacy evidence, there was concordance across all agencies in terms of phase 3 trials for three (75%) drugs, sample size for three (75%) drugs, primary endpoints for four (100%) drugs, numerical results for three (75%) drugs, agency interpretation of results for four (100%) drugs and number of phase 2 trials for three (75%) drugs. For the premarket safety evidence, there was concordance across all agencies in terms of phase 3 trials for three (75%) drugs, sample size for two (50%) drugs, primary endpoints for four (100%) drugs, numerical results for three (75%) drugs, agency interpretation of results for three (75%) drugs and number of phase 2 trials for zero (0%) drugs. For postmarket safety information, FDA was the only agency that issued boxed warnings (for three (75%) drugs). Additionally, EMA and TGA required postmarketing studies (for four (100%) and two (50%) drugs, respectively), while FDA and Health Canada did not have any postmarketing requirements. CONCLUSIONS: There was a high degree of concordance in the phase 3 trial premarket evidence used to establish efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulant approvals across four major regulatory agencies, but discordance in the phase 2 trial premarket evidence used, as well as in postmarket safety boxed warnings and postmarketing study requirements. These discrepancies highlight opportunities for further harmonisation in the evaluation and regulation of medical products globally.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.045 | 0.104 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.009 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".