DNA Methylation Classes of Stage II and III Primary Melanomas and Their Clinical and Prognostic Significance
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE Patients with stage II and III cutaneous primary melanoma vary considerably in their risk of melanoma-related death. We explore the ability of methylation profiling to distinguish primary melanoma methylation classes and their associations with clinicopathologic characteristics and survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS InterMEL is a retrospective case-control study that assembled primary cutaneous melanomas from American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition stage II and III patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2015 in the United States and Australia. Cases are patients who died of melanoma within 5 years from original diagnosis. Controls survived longer than 5 years without evidence of melanoma recurrence or relapse. Methylation classes, distinguished by consensus clustering of 850K methylation data, were evaluated for their clinicopathologic characteristics, 5-year survival status, and differentially methylated gene sets. RESULTS Among 422 InterMEL melanomas, consensus clustering revealed three primary melanoma methylation classes (MethylClasses): a CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP) class, an intermediate methylation (IM) class, and a low methylation (LM) class. CIMP and IM were associated with higher AJCC stage (both P = .002), Breslow thickness (CIMP P = .002; IM P = .006), and mitotic index (both P < .001) compared with LM, while IM had higher N stage than CIMP ( P = .01) and LM ( P = .007). CIMP and IM had a 2-fold higher likelihood of 5-year death from melanoma than LM (CIMP odds ratio [OR], 2.16 [95% CI, 1.18 to 3.96]; IM OR, 2.00 [95% CI, 1.12 to 3.58]) in a multivariable model adjusted for age, sex, log Breslow thickness, ulceration, mitotic index, and N stage. Despite more extensive CpG island hypermethylation in CIMP, CIMP and IM shared similar patterns of differential methylation and gene set enrichment compared with LM. CONCLUSION Melanoma MethylClasses may provide clinical value in predicting 5-year death from melanoma among patients with primary melanoma independent of other clinicopathologic factors.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".