Pulmonary complications and mortality among COVID-19 patients undergoing a surgery: a multicentre cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Our primary objective was to assess the association between symptoms at the time of surgery and postoperative pulmonary complications and mortality in patients with COVID-19. Our secondary objective was to compare postoperative outcomes between patients who had recovered from COVID-19 and asymptomatic patients and explore the effect of the time elapsed between infection and surgery in the former. Our hypotheses were that symptomatic patients had a higher risk of pulmonary complications, whereas patients who had recovered from the infection would exhibit outcomes similar to those of asymptomatic patients. BACKGROUND: Managing COVID-19-positive patients requiring surgery is complex due to perceived heightened perioperative risks. However, Canadian data in this context remains scarce. DESIGN: To address this gap, we conducted a multicentre observational cohort study. SETTING: Across seven hospitals in the province of Québec, the Canadian province was most affected during the initial waves of the pandemic. PARTICIPANTS: We included adult surgical patients with either active COVID-19 at the time of surgery or those who had recovered from the disease, from March 22, 2020 to April 30, 2021. OUTCOMES: We evaluated the association between symptoms or recovery time and postoperative pulmonary complications and hospital mortality using multivariable logistic regression and Cox models. The primary outcome was a composite of any postoperative pulmonary complication (atelectasis, pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome and pneumothorax). Our secondary outcome was hospital mortality, assessed from the date of surgery up to hospital discharge. RESULTS: We included 105 patients with an active infection (47 were symptomatic and 58 were asymptomatic) at the time of surgery and 206 who had recovered from COVID-19 prior to surgery in seven hospitals. Among patients with an active infection, those who were symptomatic had a higher risk of pulmonary complications (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.12 to 9.68, p=0.03) and hospital mortality (HR 3.67, 95% CI 1.19 to 11.32, p=0.02). We did not observe any significant effect of the duration of recovery prior to surgery on patients who had recovered from their infection. Their postoperative outcomes were also similar to those observed in asymptomatic patients. INTERPRETATION: Symptomatic status should be considered in the decision to proceed with surgery in COVID-19-positive patients. Our results may help optimise surgical care in this patient population. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04458337 registration date: 7 July 2020.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".