MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W4404681197 · doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-955

The Classical and Large-a Solar System  

2025· preprint· en· W4404681197 on OpenAlexaff
Wesley C. Fraser, Samantha Lawler, Rosemary E. Pike, J. J. Kavelaars, Edward Ashton, Stephen Gwyn, Ying-Tung Chen, Brett Gladman

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicSolar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Canadian institutionsOkanagan University CollegeUniversity of British ColumbiaUniversity of VictoriaUniversity of ReginaNational Research Council CanadaUniversity of British Columbia, Okanagan CampusHerzberg Institute of Astrophysics
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSolar SystemAstrobiologyComputer sciencePhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Here we present results of CLASSY: the Classical and Large-A Solar SYstem survey. Running into its third year, this 2-year CFHT Large Program was allotted 75 nights from 2022B through 2024A inclusive, with a 16 night extension in 2024B and 2025A to accommodate time lost due to equipment failure. Using shift’n’stack techniques, CLASSY has been surveying 5 independent pointings (10.1 square degrees total) of the cold classical belt’s forced midplane in search of Kuiper Belt Objects and very distant extreme trans-Neptunian Objects. Field opposition locations are chosen to be spaced as evenly as possible in ecliptic longitude and each spans a two-month window (AS: Aug-Sept, ON, JF, MJ, JA). The survey design involves 5 visits to each field across the first year (discovery), with observations of these fields at a second opposition one year later for some fields, and 2 years later for others (tracking). The survey has achieved limiting magnitudes of r~26.5, and we expect to have an >80% recovery rate during tracking. Due to the nature of the observations which by design are drifted at rates that approximate typical main-belt Kuiper Belt Objects, highly distant and/or inclined objects tend to sheer off the tracking pointings, resulting in a reduced recovery rate for objects on those orbits. To compensate, a pointed recovery effort at Magellan and supplemented at Palomar has accompanied the main CFHT program, successfully recovering many of our discoveries on more extreme orbits. To date, all discovery fields have been acquired, and all fields have received a complete year 2 or year 3 follow-up, thereby completing the main CLASSY observing program. The main science goals of CLASSY are to measure the size distribution of the cold classical belt to absolute magnitudes as faint as H_r~10, and to provide a census of extreme TNOs with minimal and well measured bias in ecliptic longitude. By nature of the robust pre/recovery during the first year, free inclinations can be calculated with sufficient accuracy to provide a surprisingly robust separation between members of the cold classicals and the more excited TNO populations, thereby enabling robust measurements of the luminosity functions of each population separately. We find that both populations exhibit the same luminosity functions to within the precision of the observations. Our observations reveal that the cold classical Kuiper Belt Objects exhibit an absolute magnitude distribution that is somewhat shallower than a direct extrapolation of the tapered exponential that accurately describes the size distribution measured for larger and brighter objects (see Figure 1). The inferred differential power-law slope over the range of CLASSY discoveries q~-2.5, revealing a decreasing mass per size, and suggests that what ever formation process resulted in these objects, it preferentially resulted in objects with diameters D~150 km, where the size distribution rolls over to this shallower slope. Even though our analysis clearly demonstrates sensitivity to objects at distances as far as 200 au, CLASSY has found a surprising dearth of eTNOs, discovering no more than 1 in the three fields we have searched to date (AS, ON, JF) though at time of writing, the year 2 and 3 follow-up observations have not been included in our analysis resulting in large uncertainties in orbital semi-major axis. At the distances over which most eTNOs are found, CLASSY is sensitive to objects with sizes smaller than the roll-over size of objects in the more proximate main Kuiper Belt, D~150 km. This preliminary result implies that eTNOs either exhibit a different size distribution and thus, possess relatively fewer large bodies than the main belt, or that these objects have subdued albedos compared with main belt objects, or both. We will conclude with a discussion of these and other prospects that can address the observed paucity of eTNOs. Figure 1: The preliminary absolute magnitude distribution of the cold classicals derived from the observations of AS (blue) and JF (orange) blocks. The thin black outline marks the cold classical Kuiper Belt Object H-distribution presented by Kavelaars et al. (2021) and the thick grey curve displays the best-fit tapered exponential of the cold classicals presented by Napier et al. (2024). ReferencesKavelaars et al. (2021) OSSOS Finds an Exponential Cutoff in the Size Distribution of the Cold Classical Kuiper Belt ApJ, 920L, 28KNapier et al. (2024) The DECam Ecliptic Exploration Project (DEEP). V. The Absolute Magnitude Distribution of the Cold Classical Kuiper Belt, PSJ Vol 5, 270N.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.949
Threshold uncertainty score0.476

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.005
GPT teacher head0.231
Teacher spread0.225 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same topicSolar and Space Plasma DynamicsFrench-language works237,207