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Record W4405432845 · doi:10.3847/1538-3881/ade054

The Multiband Imaging Survey for High-alpha PlanetS (MISHAPS). I. Preliminary Constraints on the Occurrence Rate of Hot Jupiters in 47 Tucanae

2025· preprint· en· W4405432845 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Alison L. Crisp, J. Klüter, Matthew T. Penny, Thomas G. Beatty, L. Ilsedore Cleeves, Karen A. Collins, Jennifer A. Johnson, Marshall C. Johnson, Michael B. Lund, C. E. Martínez-Vázquez, Melissa Ness, Joseph E. Rodriguez, Robert J. Siverd, Daniel J. Stevens, Steven Villanueva, Carl Ziegler

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Astronomical Journal · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstro and Planetary Science
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersArgonne National LaboratoryPlanetary Science DivisionIntegrated Electronics Engineering Center, Binghamton UniversityScience and Technology Facilities CouncilScience Mission DirectorateSmithsonian Astrophysical ObservatoryUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignMax-Planck-Institut für AstronomieInstitut de Física d'Altes EnergiesEötvös Loránd TudományegyetemDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftGordon and Betty Moore FoundationQueen's University BelfastNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationUniversity College LondonSpace Telescope Science InstituteConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoLouisiana State UniversityLos Alamos National LaboratoryEuropean Space AgencyAlfred P. Sloan FoundationJohns Hopkins UniversitySLAC National Accelerator LaboratoryQueen's UniversityOhio State UniversityUniversity of PortsmouthDurham UniversityU.S. Department of EnergySmithsonian InstitutionMinistério da Ciência, Tecnologia e InovaçãoLawrence Berkeley National LaboratoryUniversity of PennsylvaniaFinanciadora de Estudos e ProjetosFundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de JaneiroNational Central UniversityUniversity of SussexFermilabNational Science Foundation
KeywordsPlanetHot JupiterAlpha (finance)AstrophysicsPhysicsAstronomyAstrobiologyExoplanetMathematicsStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The first generation of transiting planet searches in globular clusters yielded no detections, and in hindsight only placed occurrence rate limits slightly higher than the measured occurrence rate in the higher-metallicity Galactic thick disk. To improve these limits, we present the first results of a new wide-field search for transiting hot Jupiters in the globular cluster 47 Tucanae (47 Tuc). We have observed 47 Tuc as part of the Multiband Imaging Survey for High-Alpha PlanetS. Using 24 partial and full nights of observations taken with the Dark Energy Camera on the 4 m Blanco telescope at Cerro-Tololo Interamerican Observatory, we perform a search on 19,930 stars in the outer regions of the cluster. Though we find no clear planet detections, by combining our result with the upper limit enabled by R. L. Gilliland et al.’s Hubble search for planets around an independent sample of 34,091 stars in the inner cluster, we place the strongest limit to date on hot Jupiters with periods of 0.8 ≤ P ≤ 8.3 days and 0.5R Jup ≤ R P ≤ 2.0R Jup of f HJ < 0.11%, a factor of ∼4 below the occurrence rate in the Kepler field. Our search found 35 transiting planet candidates, though we are ultimately able to rule out each without follow-up observations. We also found four eclipsing binaries (EBs), including three previously uncataloged detached EB stars.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.245
Threshold uncertainty score0.487

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.257
Teacher spread0.236 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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