Long-term follow-up of patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (clinically isolated syndrome) who received cladribine tablets in CLASSIC-MS: Findings for the ORACLE-MS cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: CLASSIC-MS explored long-term outcomes of patients treated with cladribine tablets. OBJECTIVE: Assess long-term efficacy in patients previously enrolled in ORACLE-MS, a Phase III parent trial. METHODS: ORACLE-MS included patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (FCDE or clinically isolated syndrome) who received ⩾1 course of cladribine tablets or placebo. With a median follow-up time of 9.5 years, CLASSIC-MS assessed conversion rates to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS), time-to-conversion, relapse rates, long-term mobility/disability status and subsequent disease-modifying therapy (DMT) use. RESULTS: Of 227 patients from the ORACLE-MS cohort of 616, 68.7% were exposed to cladribine tablets and 31.3% were never exposed. Of the exposed patients at risk, 51.5% converted to CDMS with a median conversion time of 8.4 (95% confidence interval (CI): 5.4-not estimable) years, versus 80.6%, median time 0.8 (95% CI: 0.3-2.4) years, for never exposed. Exposed patients were less likely to be using a wheelchair or ambulatory device or receive subsequent DMTs, and 53.2% were relapse-free versus 28.2% never exposed. CONCLUSIONS: Proportionally, more FCDE patients exposed to cladribine tablets experienced delayed conversion to CDMS and fewer relapses and were less likely to use a wheelchair or ambulatory device than never-exposed patients, at 9.5 years (median).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".