Spatial and temporal impacts of climate change to the Tarium Niryutait Marine Protected Area, Beaufort Sea, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Tarium Niryutait Marine Protected Area (TN MPA), composed of three distinct parcels (Niaqunnaq, Okeevik, and Kittigaryuit), was established in the Western Canadian Arctic to protect the Eastern Beaufort Sea beluga ( Delphinapterus leucas) population and their critical habitat in the Mackenzie Estuary. In this study, we compare the past and current state of environmental parameters—wave regimes, water conditions, storminess, erosion, and landfast ice break-up in the TN MPA. We found significant differences in the characteristics of these environmental parameters between each of the three MPA parcels, which may be impacted differently by climate change. The break-up of landfast ice is occurring earlier in all three parcels of the TN MPA, with the greatest rate of change at Kittigaryuit. Rates of coastal erosion are increasing at Kittigaryuit, while slightly decreasing at Okeevik. We did not identify any significant changes in storm characteristics over the study period. Our results suggest that ecological monitoring should occur within each parcel of the TN MPA to ensure a comprehensive understanding of the area overall. A better understanding of spatial and temporal differences of these environmental parameters will help to inform local users and resource managers to more effectively monitor and manage the MPA.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".