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THE NORTH–SOUTH TRANSPORT CORRIDOR PROJECT IN THE CONTEXT OF FOREIGN ECONOMIC INTERESTS OF BELARUS

2024· article· en· W4405828957 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueScientific and Analytical Herald of IE RAS · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicEastern European Communism and Reforms
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsContext (archaeology)SanctionsPolitical scienceState (computer science)Economic sanctionsQuarter (Canadian coin)International tradeEconomyGeographyBusinessEconomics

Abstract

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The foreign trade relations of the Republic of Belarus have been developing in crisis conditions over the past four years. They are limited by the sanctions of the Euro-Atlantic bloc countries. Unfavorable external conditions forced the leadership of Belarus to look for alternative markets and routes for the sale of its goods, which led to increased discussions and diplomatic efforts around the North–South international transport corridor project, which has not been fully implemented by the participating countries for almost a quarter of a century. The article examines the current state of the North–South corridor and the main problems of this route along each of the three branches. The text also analyzes the main preconditions for Minsk’s increased interest in the North–South corridor, assesses the current state of the republic’s trade relations with counterparty countries along this transport corridor, and assesses Belarus’ readiness to really increase its efforts to build the potential of the route. The author concludes that Minsk should not be expected to make significant efforts within the framework of the project due to the fact that: a) the dynamics and volumes of Belarusian supplies in monetary and physical terms to the countries of the «far arc» are unstable and still fairly modest in the total volume of exports of the republic; b) significant additional growth in both the volume and range of Belarusian goods to countries along the North–South corridor is not expected in the foreseeable future, as the thesis of Minsk reaching the limits of the «export maneuver» seems increasingly convincing. Belarus is ready to take advantage of the capacity and simplification of the logistics of the corridor, but is unlikely to agree to actions that require costs on its part, due to the lack of a legitimate economic interest

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.504
Threshold uncertainty score0.606

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.035
GPT teacher head0.303
Teacher spread0.268 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueScientific and Analytical Herald of IE RASSame topicEastern European Communism and ReformsFrench-language works237,207