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Record W4406087248 · doi:10.1158/2159-8290.cd-24-0760

The Hallmarks of Predictive Oncology

2025· article· en· W4406087248 on OpenAlexaff
Akshat Singhal, Xiaoyu Zhao, Patrick D. Wall, Emily So, G. Calderini, Alexander Partin, Natasha C. Koussa, Priyanka Vasanthakumari, Oleksandr Narykov, Yitan Zhu, Sara Jones, Farnoosh Abbas‐Aghababazadeh, Sisira Kadambat Nair, Jean‐Christophe Bélisle‐Pipon, Athmeya Jayaram, Barbara A. Parker, Kay T. Yeung, Jason I. Griffiths, Ryan Weil, Aritro Nath, Benjamin Haibe‐Kains, Trey Ideker

Bibliographic record

VenueCancer Discovery · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicRadiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)Vector InstitutePublic Health OntarioUniversity Health NetworkUniversity of TorontoUniversité de MontréalSimon Fraser UniversityPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre
FundersMoonshot Research and Development ProgramArgonne National LaboratoryFrederick National Laboratory for Cancer ResearchNational Cancer InstituteNational Institutes of HealthNational Institute of General Medical SciencesSchmidt Family FoundationAmerican Cancer SocietyCancer MoonshotU.S. Department of Energy
KeywordsInterpretabilityBenchmarkingGeneralizability theoryComputer scienceStandardizationRelevance (law)Set (abstract data type)Precision medicinePrecision oncologyPersonalized medicineData scienceMedical physicsArtificial intelligenceMedicinePsychologyBioinformaticsBiologyPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The rapid evolution of machine learning has led to a proliferation of sophisticated models for predicting therapeutic responses in cancer. While many of these show promise in research, standards for clinical evaluation and adoption are lacking. Here, we propose seven hallmarks by which predictive oncology models can be assessed and compared. These are Data Relevance and Actionability, Expressive Architecture, Standardized Benchmarking, Generalizability, Interpretability, Accessibility and Reproducibility, and Fairness. Considerations for each hallmark are discussed along with an example model scorecard. We encourage the broader community, including researchers, clinicians, and regulators, to engage in shaping these guidelines toward a concise set of standards. Significance: As the field of artificial intelligence evolves rapidly, these hallmarks are intended to capture fundamental, complementary concepts necessary for the progress and timely adoption of predictive modeling in precision oncology. Through these hallmarks, we hope to establish standards and guidelines that enable the symbiotic development of artificial intelligence and precision oncology.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.629
Threshold uncertainty score0.142

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.336
Teacher spread0.328 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations12
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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