Temporal trends of subsequent central nervous system malignancies among survivors of childhood cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: It is not known whether temporal changes in childhood cancer therapy have reduced risk of subsequent malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system (CNS), a frequently fatal late effect of cancer therapy. METHODS: Five-year survivors of primary childhood cancers diagnosed between 1970 and 1999 in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study with CNS subsequent malignant neoplasms were identified. Cumulative incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios were compared among survivors diagnosed between 1970-1979 (n = 6223), 1980-1989 (n = 9680), and 1990-1999 (n = 8999). Multivariable models assessed risk factors for CNS subsequent malignant neoplasms. RESULTS: A total of 157 CNS subsequent malignant neoplasms (1970s, 52; 1980s, 63; 1990s, 42) were identified, excluding meningiomas, which were most often malignant gliomas. The proportion of survivors receiving any cranial radiotherapy exposure was reduced over time (1970s, 77.0%; 1980s, 54.3%; 1990s, 33.9%), while the proportion receiving more than 35 Gy cranial radiotherapy showed a smaller reduction (11.4%, 10.8%, and 8.5%, respectively). Twenty-year cumulative incidence and standardized incidence ratios for CNS subsequent malignant neoplasms by treatment decade were 0.32% (95% confidence interval = 0.18% to 0.46%) and 6.6 (95% CI = 5.0 to 8.7); 0.55% (95% CI = 0.41% to 0.70%) and 8.3 (95% CI = 6.6 to 10.4); and 0.43% (95% CI = 0.31% to 0.55%) and 9.2 (95% CI = 7.0 to 12.0), respectively, with no statistically significant decreases between eras. Multivariable analyses showed increased risk for cranial radiotherapy dose levels more than 10 Gy and for primary diagnoses of medulloblastoma and/or primitive neuro-ectodermal tumor (hazard ratio [HR] = 18.7, 95% CI = 9.2 to 37.9) and astrocytoma (HR = 10.1, 95% CI = 5.3 to 19.5). Three-year cumulative incidence of death after CNS subsequent malignant neoplasms, by treatment decade, were 76%, 74%, and 73%, respectively. CONCLUSION: CNS subsequent malignant neoplasm incidence has not decreased despite fewer survivors exposed to CNS-directed radiotherapy. CNS subsequent malignant neoplasm remains a substantial source of mortality for affected patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".