Transit-timing variations in the AU Mic system observed with CHEOPS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Context. AU Mic is a very active M dwarf star with an edge-on debris disk and two known transiting sub-Neptunes with a possible third planetary companion. The two transiting planets exhibit significant transit-timing variations (TTVs) that are caused by the gravi tational interaction between the bodies in the system. Aims. Using photometrical observations taken with the CHaracterizing ExOPlanet Satellite (CHEOPS), we aim to constrain the plan etary radii, the orbital distances, and the periods of AU Mic b and c. Furthermore, our goal is to determine the superperiod of the TTVs for AU Mic b and to update the transit ephemeris for both planets. Additionally, based on the perceived TTVs, we study the possible presence of a third planet in the system. Methods. We conducted ultra-high precision photometric observations with CHEOPS in 2022 and 2023. We used Allesfitter to fit the planetary transits and to constrain the planetary and orbital parameters. We combined our new measurements with results from previous years to determine the periods and amplitudes of the TTVs. We applied dynamical modelling based on TTV measurements from the 2018–2023 period to reconstruct the perceived variations. Results. We found that the orbital distances and periods for AU Mic b and c agree with the results from previous works. However, the values for the planetary radii deviate slightly from previous values, which we attribute to the effect of spots on the stellar surface. AU Mic c showed very strong TTVs, with transits that occurred ∼80 minutes later in 2023 than in 2021. Through a dynamical analysis of the system, we found that the observed TTVs can be explained by a third planet with an orbital period of ∼12.6 days and a mass of 0.203−0.024+0.022 M⊕. We explored the orbital geometry of the system and found that AU Mic c has a misaligned retrograde orbit. The limited number of AU Mic observations prevented us from determining the exact dynamical configuration and planetary parameters. Further monitoring of the system with CHEOPS might help to improve these results.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".