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Record W4406749918 · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-83691-y

Dynamic analysis and optimal control of a hybrid fractional monkeypox disease model in terms of external factors

2025· article· en· W4406749918 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Saima Rashid, Abdul Bariq, Ilyas Ali, Sobia Sultana, Ayesha Siddiqa, S.K. Elagan

Bibliographic record

VenueScientific Reports · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldImmunology and Microbiology
TopicPoxvirus research and outbreaks
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersTaif University
KeywordsMonkeypoxComputer scienceDiseaseDisease controlComputational biologyVirologyMedicineBiologyGeneticsInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The monkeypox virus (MPXV), which is a member of the Orthopoxvirus genus in the class Poxviridae, is the causative agent of the zoonotic viral infection MPXV. The disease is similar to smallpox, but it is usually less dangerous. This study examines the evolution of the MPXV epidemic in Canada with an emphasis on the effects of control employing actual data. The main challenge is accurately estimating the virus's rate of transmission and assessing the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns. By taking into account the modified Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo (mABC) fractional difference operator, we develop an analytical framework for an outbreak caused by MPXV and broaden it to accommodate the fractional scenario. The non-negativity and boundedness are guaranteed by the computation of the fractional-order MPXV system. At the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) [Formula: see text], we perform a local asymptotical stability analysis (LAS) and display the outcome for [Formula: see text]. When [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], the single endemic equilibrium point (EEP) of infectious rodents is globally asymptotically stable (GAS). Lyapunov's approach and LaSalle's invariant criterion demonstrate that the GAS in terms of EEP for infectious persons occurs when [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. Through the application of nonlinear least squares, we determine the parameter values applying actual cases collected from Canada. To further bolster the operator's effectiveness, a number of tests of this novel kind of operator were conducted. We remark that in various time scale domains [Formula: see text], the investigated discrete formulations will be [Formula: see text]-nonincreasing or [Formula: see text]-nondecreasing by examining ρ-monotonicity formulations and the basic properties of the suggested operator. Algorithms are constructed in the discrete generalized Mittag-Leffler (GML) kernel for mathematical simulations, emphasizing the effects of the infection resulting from multiple factors. The dynamical technique used to build the MPXV framework was significantly impacted by fractional-order. In order to lessen the infections, severity, five time-dependent control factors are also implemented. The optimality criteria are produced by applying Pontryagin's maximal argument to prove the validity of the most effective control. Various combos of control factors are offered to reduce the incidence of MPXV. The results of the current research provide governmental officials and healthcare professionals with practical steps to take in order to establish efficient and ideal preventive approaches to reduce the MPXV outbreaks.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.049
Threshold uncertainty score0.097

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.267
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations9
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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