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Record W4406834511 · doi:10.1016/j.ress.2025.110861

Probabilistic modeling of explosibility of low reactivity dusts

2025· article· en· W4406834511 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueReliability Engineering & System Safety · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicCombustion and Detonation Processes
Canadian institutionsDalhousie University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaWorkSafeBC
KeywordsProbabilistic logicReactivity (psychology)Environmental scienceEconometricsStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This work presents probabilistic models to estimate dust explosion severity parameters of low reactivity dusts while capturing uncertainty in the parameter estimations. The marginally explosible behavior of combustible dusts has also been explored for different ignition energies and dust concentrations. Low-reactivity dusts are mostly characterized by low-K St values (i.e., K St < 45 bar . m/s in the 20-L chamber), also referred to as marginally explosible. These dusts pose a major problem regarding explosion classification due to the uncertainty they present on the industrial scale (i.e., explodes in the 20-L chamber but not in the 1-m 3 chamber, and vice versa). The proposed model has been used to study the explosibility of carbon black and zinc dust samples based on data generated in a 20-L Siwek chamber. The outcomes in terms of variability of maximum explosion pressure and maximum rate of pressure rise have been represented using maximum probable values and credible ranges. The likelihood of selected dusts exhibiting marginal explosibility characteristics at varying concentrations and ignition energies is also presented. The findings can be useful for making dust explosion safety decisions and facilitating risk reduction opportunities in the processing and handling of explosible dust.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.359
Threshold uncertainty score0.937

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.199
Teacher spread0.194 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it