Spatiotemporal variation in size-dependent growth rates in small isolated populations of Arctic charr ( <i>Salvelinus alpinus</i> )
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As a key life-history trait, growth rates are often used to measure individual performance and to inform parameters in demographic models. Furthermore, intraspecific trait variation generates diversity in nature. Therefore, partitioning out and understanding drivers of spatiotemporal variation in growth rate is of fundamental interest in ecology and evolution. However, this has rarely been attempted owing to the amount of individual-level data required through both time and space, and issues with missing data in important covariates. Here, we implemented a Bayesian state-space model using individual-level data from 20 populations of Arctic charr ( Salvelinus alpinus ) across 15 capture occasions, which allowed us to: (i) integrate over the uncertainty of missing recapture records; (ii) robustly estimate size-dependence; and (iii) include a covariate (water temperature) that contained missing data. Interestingly, although there was substantial spatial, temporal and spatiotemporal variation in growth rate, this was only weakly associated with variation in water temperature and almost entirely independent of size, suggesting that spatiotemporal variation in other environmental conditions affected individuals across sizes similarly. This fine-scale spatiotemporal variation emphasizes the importance of local conditions and highlights the potential for spatiotemporal variation in a size-dependent life-history trait, even when environmental conditions are apparently very similar.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".