Serum proteomics of adults with acute liver failure provides mechanistic insights and attractive prognostic biomarkers
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background & Aims: Acute liver failure (ALF) is defined as rapid onset coagulopathy and encephalopathy in patients without a prior history of liver disease. We performed untargeted and targeted serum proteomics to delineate processes occurring in adult patients with ALF and to identify potential biomarkers. Methods: Sera of 319 adult patients with ALF (∼50% acetaminophen [APAP]-related cases) were randomly selected from admission samples of the multicenter USA Acute Liver Failure Study Group consortium and subdivided into discovery/validation cohorts. They were analyzed using untargeted proteomics with mass spectroscopy and a serum cytokine profiling and compared with 30 healthy controls. The primary clinical outcome was 21-day transplant-free survival. Single-cell RNAseq data mapped biomarkers to cells of origin; functional enrichment analysis provided mechanistic insights. Novel prognostic scores were compared with the model for end-stage liver disease and ALFSG prognostic index scores. Results: In the discovery cohort, 117 proteins differed between patients with ALF and healthy controls. There were 167 proteins associated with APAP-related ALF, with the majority being hepatocyte-derived. Three hepatocellular proteins (ALDOB, CAT, and PIGR) robustly and reproducibly discriminated APAP from non-APAP cases (AUROCs ∼0.9). In the discovery cohort, 37 proteins were related to 21-day outcome. The key processes associated with survival were acute-phase response and hepatocyte nuclear factor 1α signaling. SERPINA1 and LRG1 were the best individual discriminators of 21-day transplant-free survival in both cohorts. Two models of blood-based proteomic biomarkers outperformed the model for end-stage liver disease and ALFSG prognostic index and were reproduced in the validation cohort (AUROCs 0.83-0.86) for 21-day transplant-free survival. Conclusions: Proteomics and cytokine profiling identified new, reproducible biomarkers associated with APAP etiology and 21-day outcome. These biomarkers may improve prognostication and understanding of the etiopathogenesis of ALF but need to be independently validated. Impact and implications: Acute liver failure (ALF) is a sudden, and severe condition associated with high fatality. More sensitive and specific prognostic scores are urgently needed to facilitate decision-making regarding liver transplantation in patients with ALF. Our proteomic analysis uncovered marked differences between acetaminophen and non-acetaminophen-related ALF. The identification of routinely measurable biomarkers that are associated with 21-day transplant-free survival and the derivation of novel prognostic scores may facilitate clinical management as well as decisions for/against liver transplantation. Further studies are needed to quantify less abundant proteins. Although we used two cohorts, our findings still need to be independently and prospectively validated.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".