Digital Pathology–Based Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Scores and Outcomes in a Randomized Phase III Trial in Men With Nonmetastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE The SPARTAN trial demonstrated that the addition of apalutamide to androgen deprivation therapy improves outcomes among patients with nonmetastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (nmCRPC). We applied a previously reported digital histopathology–based multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) algorithm to estimate clinical outcomes in SPARTAN. METHODS Patients with available hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides from the primary tumor were included. Histopathology slides were digitized. MMAI scores ranging from 0 to 1 were generated from digital histopathology and baseline clinical parameters. Patients were categorized into MMAI non–high-risk and high-risk groups using previously validated cutoffs. Kaplan-Meier estimates were calculated for metastasis-free survival (MFS), second progression-free survival (PFS2), and overall survival (OS); comparisons were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression for treatment arms and MMAI risk. The interaction between treatment arm and risk group was evaluated using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS The study included 420 evaluable patients after excluding those with missing clinical data or inadequate histopathology images. Of these, 63% (n = 266) were MMAI high risk and 37% (n = 154) were non–high risk. MMAI risk score was associated with shorter MFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.72; P < .005), PFS2 (HR, 1.57; P < .005), and OS (HR, 1.41; P = .02). MMAI high-risk patients receiving apalutamide demonstrated significant improvement in MFS (HR, 0.19; P < .005), PFS2 (HR, 0.47; P < .005), and OS (HR, 0.6; P = .01). The interaction between MMAI risk score and treatment for MFS ( P = .01) and PFS2 ( P = .03) was significant, indicating greater benefit from apalutamide treatment in MMAI high-risk patients. CONCLUSION MMAI is a prognostic marker in nmCRPC and may serve as a predictive biomarker with high-risk patients deriving the greatest benefit from treatment with apalutamide. These results represent the first extension of an MMAI classifier to patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer, warranting additional validation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it