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Record W4407165049 · doi:10.1101/2025.02.04.25321451

Association between Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry with mortality and long-term cardiovascular outcomes in Chinese adults

2025· preprint· en· W4407165049 on OpenAlexafffund
Mengya Li, Yang Li, Mengxin Chen, Duong Mylinh, Qiujing Cai, Biyan Wang, Sumathy Rangarajan, Kai You, Jiying Li, Salim Yusuf, Li Wei, Zhiguang Liu, Bo Hu, Lap Ah Tse

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicChronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
Canadian institutionsHamilton Health SciencesMcMaster UniversityPopulation Health Research Institute
FundersFuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesNational Institutes of HealthNational Children's Research CentreCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchChinese Academy of Medical SciencesHamilton Health SciencesHeart and Stroke Foundation of Canada
KeywordsSpirometryMedicineTerm (time)Association (psychology)Internal medicineCardiologyDemographyGerontologyPsychology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background To examine the prevalence and characteristics of PRISm among Chinese individuals, as well as its association with future mortality and cardiovascular (CVD) outcomes. Methods This was a substudy of the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study, which recruited 40,279 individuals aged 35-70 years from 115 urban and rural communities in 12 provinces across China between 2005 and 2009. At baseline, participants were categorized into subgroups based on PRISm, airflow obstruction (AO), and normal spirometry. Follow-up was conducted every three years to obtain information on major cardiovascular events and mortality. Cox frailty proportional hazard regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI). Results The baseline prevalence rates of PRISm, AO and normal spirometry were 29.3%, 8.5%, and 62.2% respectively. Over a median follow-up period of 11.9 years, 2,214 deaths, with 773 attributed to CVD, and 3,507 major CVD events were observed. After adjusting for potential confounders, individuals with PRISm, comparing to those with normal spirometry, exhibited significantly elevated risks of all-cause mortality (HR 1.42, 95%CI [1.29, 1.58]), CVD mortality (HR 1.35, 95%CI [1.14, 1.60]), major CVD events (HR 1.16, 95%CI [1.07, 1.25]), myocardial infarction (HR 1.34, 95%CI [1.15,1.56]), and heart failure (HR 2.02, 95%CI [1.46, 2.79]). Conclusions PRISm, a frequently observed result in spirometry among the general Chinese population, exhibits a substantial association with long-term all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, major CVD events. Further investigation is warranted to comprehensively compared the underlying pathophysiologic connection between PRISm and CVD as well as mortality. What is already known on this topic PRISm is considered a transient state with higher transition rates to both normal and obstructive spirometry, often indicating progression to COPD, which is associated with increased respiratory symptoms, diminished quality of life, and a higher risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Given the limited understanding of PRISm, there are several studies on the association between PRISm and health outcomes have been carried out in different populations since the concept of PRISm was introduced in 2014. Longitudinal studies based on population cohorts such as COPDGene, UK Biobank, Rotterdam, and NHLBI have shown that PRISm is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, with similar results found in a study based on a Japanese population. Lung function differs substantially between races and regions. Most of the existing PRISm-related studies are based on populations in developed countries such as Europe and the United States, and the conclusions of these studies should not be directly generalized to East Asian populations, including China. Currently, there is only two studies based on a Japanese and Korean aimed at exploring the relationship between PRISm and all-cause mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, but the sample size of these study is relatively small, and the statistical power of the conclusions is relatively limited. What this study adds This is the first longitudinal study examining the association of PRISm with the risk for all-cause mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in a general Chinese population. The results showed that the prevalence of PRISm in the general Chinese population is 29.3%, which is significantly higher than previous studies. Compared to individuals with normal spirometry, the population with baseline PRISm had a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and heart failure (HF), and showed a trend towards higher risk than those with baseline airflow obstruction (AO, although no statistically significant difference was observed). How this study might affect research, practice or policy Our findings support that the early prevention, diagnosis, and intervention of PRISm may offer an important strategy to alleviating the high CVD burden in China.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.029

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.027
GPT teacher head0.320
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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