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Record W4407270136 · doi:10.1093/biosci/biaf007

Fires in the Petrocene

2025· article· en· W4407270136 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Juli G. Pausas

Bibliographic record

VenueBioScience · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeographyEnvironmental science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

... Fire Weather tells the story of the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire in Alberta, Canada. The fire burned approximately 600,000 hectares of boreal forest, swept through the oil and mining city of Fort McMurray, forced the evacuation of 88,000 people, and destroyed more than 3000 houses. However, the book goes far beyond this fire; it is essentially a reflection on the Petrocene—that is, the petroleum age defined by Vaillant as “the period of history (about the past 150 years) in which our pursuit of fire's energy, most notably crude oil, in conjunction with the internal combustion engine, transformed all aspects of our civilization and, with it, our atmosphere.” In other words, the Petrocene is the period in which we filled the air with carbon dioxide, methane, and other greenhouse gases. Although the Fort McMurray fire may not have been the most severe in the world history, it serves as an illustrative and shocking example of the consequences of the Petrocene, including mainly climate change but also the widespread use of petroleum-derived products (plastics and laminates) in our homes. In that sense, the book delves into Pyne's pyric transition between fire and combustion (Pyne 2021). Through the book, Vaillant draws a parallel between the wildfire, which started by burning forest fuels, and the destruction of Fort McMurray—a city whose existence is rooted in extraction of fossil fuels. That is, a city living from fossil fuels (extinct), created a few millions of years ago, was destroyed by recent fuels (extant). Furthermore, the burning of these fossil fuels is the driver of the extreme fire weather conditions that allowed the wildfire to escalate into ferocious firestorm that destroyed the city. Vaillant makes it clear that these firestorms are no surprise; scientists, by the 1960s, had already predicted that drastic changes in climate and fire behavior would occur if we continued releasing tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. However, many individuals, companies, and governments deliberately ignore (and discredit) those warnings to prioritize their economic gains from the oil industry. This behavior is having a profoundly negative impact on our lives today and, even more so, on future generations—a masterful example of the tragedy of the commons.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.051
Threshold uncertainty score0.172

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0510.010

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.004
GPT teacher head0.219
Teacher spread0.215 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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