A73 MICROBIAL CONTRIBUTION TO THE RISK OF FUTURE CROHN’S DISEASE: STRATIFICATION BY SUBCLINICAL INFLAMMATION LEVELS MEASURED BY FECAL CALPROTECTIN
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Crohn’s disease (CD) prevalence is rising globally, but its pathogenesis remains unclear. Our group found specific microbes predict future CD risk in healthy first-degree relatives (FDR), whereas high fecal calprotectin (FCP) level (>100ug/g) was also significantly associated with a 6-fold higher risk of CD onset. However, the influence of FCP on how microbial communities contribute to CD risk remains unknown. Understanding microbial interactions with gut inflammation may offer insights into CD onset. Aims This study investigates how microbial composition and function contribute to CD risk in healthy in association with their baseline FCP levels. Methods Healthy FDRs from the CCC-GEM Project were followed for CD onset. Using baseline stool samples, microbial compositions were analyzed with 16S rRNA sequencing and functional predictions with PICRUSt2. Cox PH models assessed relationships between microbiome composition, functional pathways, and CD risk stratified by high or low levels of subclinical inflammation, defined by FCP with a cut-off of 100 ug/g (FCP>100 and FCP<100, respectively). q<0.1 was considered statistically significant. Results We followed 3430 FDRs for a median of 7.7 years, among which 76 developed CD. In the subgroup with FCP>100 a higher abundance of Ruminococcus torques group, an undefined Ruminococcus genus, and Romboutsia were significantly associated with an increased risk of CD. In contrast, Oscillospiraceae family was consistently associated with a lower CD risk in both FCP>100 and FCP<100 subgroups. Microbial functional pathways analysis revealed that peptidoglycan-N-acetylmuramic acid deacetylase, 4’-phosphopantetheinyl transferase, and iron(III) transport system ATP-binding protein were consistently associated with a decreased risk of CD in both FCP>100 and FCP<100 subgroups. However, pathways including Flagellar motor switch protein FliN and Carboxynorspermidine decarboxylase were associated with increased risk of CD, but only in the FCP>100 subgroup. In contrast, geranylgeranyl diphosphate synthase and heat shock protein HspR were associated with increased CD risk in the FCP<100 subgroup. Conclusions The microbial contribution to CD risk in healthy FDRs may vary depending on baseline FCP levels. Specific taxa and functional pathways were identified as contributors to CD risk in FDRs in the presence or absence of intestinal inflammation. Notably, the Oscillospiraceae family was consistently associated with a decreased risk of CD, highlighting its potential as a therapeutic target in the pre-clinical phase of CD. Funding Agencies None
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".