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Record W4407985075 · doi:10.1101/2025.02.25.25322856

Breast cancer multigene germline panel testing in mainstream oncology based on clinical-public health utility (cancer mortality benefit): ESMO Precision Oncology Working Group recommendations

2025· preprint· en· W4407985075 on OpenAlexaff
Maria Isabel Achatz, Judith Balmañà, Elena Castro, Giuseppe Curigliano, Cezary Cybulski, Susan M. Domchek, D. Gareth Evans, Helen Hanson, Paul A. James, Amanda Krause, Katherine L. Nathanson, Mark E. Robson, Marc Tischkowitz, Benedikt Westphalen, William D. Foulkes

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicBRCA gene mutations in cancer
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClinical OncologyOncologyInternal medicineMedicineBreast cancerPrecision oncologyCancerGermlineMedical physicsBiologyGenetics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background With widening therapeutic indications, germline genetic testing is offered to an increasing proportion of patients with breast cancer (BC) via mainstream oncology services. However, the gene set tested varies widely from just BRCA1/BRCA2 through to ‘pan-cancer’ panels of near 100 genes. If a germline pathogenic variant (GPV) is detected, the BC proband and other family GPV-carriers may be offered interventions such as risk-reducing surgery and decades of intensive surveillance for the various cancers linked to that gene. Methods ESMO’s Precision Oncology Working Group established an international expert group in breast cancer germline genetics. This group firstly established a framework of criteria by which to evaluate each breast cancer susceptibility gene (BCSG) for inclusion on a breast cancer multigene panel test (BC-MGPT) for universal mainstream testing for BC cases. Next the panel scored BCSGs for gene utility regarding (i) BC risk estimation, (ii) clinical actionability (iii) evidence of impact on cancer-specific mortality (and/or morbidity). Results The group agreed genes should be included on the BC-MGPT based on potential cancer-specific mortality (and/or morbidity) benefit. Judged as of high or moderate utility on this basis were 7 genes: BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, RAD51C, RAD51D and TP53 (for BC diagnosed <40 years), with BRIP1 later added. Whilst potentially informative for BC risk estimation, CHEK2 and ATM were judged to offer insufficient evidence for improving cancer-specific mortality. The expert group recommended strongly against inclusion of ‘syndromic’ genes such as STK11, PTEN, NF1 and CDH1 . Conclusion With expanded germline testing in patients with BC (and cascade testing into families), the number and nature of resultant GPV carriers identified will be dictated by the genes included on the upfront BC-MGPT. The potential harms, opportunity and economic costs of decades of surveillance of multiple organs and risk-reducing surgeries should be outweighed by strong evidence of meaningful benefit, improved cancer-specific mortality (and/or morbidity). Highlights ESMO expert panel settled a list of genes for inclusion on a BC-MGPT based on potential cancer-specific mortality benefit This BC-MGPT should include 7 genes: BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, RAD51C, RAD51D, BRIP1 and TP53 (for BC diagnosed <40 years) This BC-MGPT would service urgent diagnostic mainstreaming germline testing requirements for all eligible BC cases ‘Syndromic’ genes such as STK11, PTEN, NF1 and CDH1 should only be tested downstream post expert review in a minority of BC The mortality benefit was deemed equivocal for ATM and CHEK2 , being primarily of intermediate penetrance for ER-positive BC

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.097
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.115
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.097
Threshold uncertainty score0.515

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0970.115
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.005
Bibliometrics0.0060.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.004
Open science0.0100.006
Research integrity0.0190.012
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.218
GPT teacher head0.453
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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